Football · China Division 2 · 12/09, 13:00
Prediction: Beijing Institute vs Ganzhou Ruishi
Team pages: Beijing Institute · Ganzhou Ruishi
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.01Total
Beijing Institute1.8
Ganzhou Ruishi1.21
1X2
Beijing Institute
Draw
Ganzhou Ruishi
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Beijing Institute
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Ganzhou Ruishi
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Beijing Institute
1–1–2
Ganzhou Ruishi
(4 last)
- Beijing Institute3-0Ganzhou Ruishi
- Ganzhou Ruishi1-0Beijing Institute
- Ganzhou Ruishi3-3Beijing Institute
- Beijing Institute0-1Ganzhou Ruishi
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Beijing Institute 1445 · Ganzhou Ruishi 1456
| Beijing Institute | Draw | Ganzhou Ruishi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 25% | 25% |
| Market | 49% | 28% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.01 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Ganzhou Ruishi: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Beijing Institute | Ganzhou Ruishi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.4 | 0.9 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.2 | 0.2 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/60/40% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.7 / 3 | 0.8 / 2.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.1 | 2.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Beijing Institute 1–1–2 Ganzhou Ruishi
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/25 China Division 2 | Beijing Institute | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Ganzhou Ruishi |
| 13/09/25 China Division 2 | Ganzhou Ruishi | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Beijing Institute |
| 19/10/24 China Division 2 | Ganzhou Ruishi | 3-3 HT 1-2 | Beijing Institute |
| 15/09/24 China Division 2 | Beijing Institute | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Ganzhou Ruishi |
Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Relegation Round, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tai'an Tiankuang | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 23 | 31 |
| 2 | Xiamen Feilu | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 29 |
| 3 | Nantong Haimen Codion | 22 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 26 |
| 4 | Ganzhou Ruishi | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 32 | 26 |
| 5 | Qingdao Red Lions | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 22 | 20 | 25 |
| 6 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 24 | 22 |
| 7 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 26 | 19 |
| 8 | Beijing Institute | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 42 | 16 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Beijing Institute
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2 |
1-1 | 4-3 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | Changchun Xidu China Division 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 08/08 | Shanghai Segenda China Division 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 05/08 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 01/08 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 29/07 | Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 27/07 | Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2 |
0-3 | 1-6 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 18/07 | Dalian Kewei China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2 |
1-4 | 1-5 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 28/06 | Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
Ganzhou Ruishi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 16/08 | Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 08/08 | Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2 |
0-2 | 0-6 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 01/08 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 25/07 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 18/07 | Xiamen Feilu China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 11/07 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 04/07 | Hubei Istar China Division 2 |
0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 28/06 | Wenzhou FC China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 24/06 | Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Beijing Institute vs Ganzhou Ruishi?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Beijing Institute win (49%). Probabilities: Beijing Institute 49%, draw 27%, Ganzhou Ruishi 24%.
How many goals are expected in Beijing Institute vs Ganzhou Ruishi?
The model expects 3.01 goals (Beijing Institute 1.8 · Ganzhou Ruishi 1.21), with a 59% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Beijing Institute vs Ganzhou Ruishi?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.