Football · China Division 2 · 13/09, 13:00

Prediction: Qingdao Red Lions vs Xiamen Feilu

Team pages: Qingdao Red Lions · Xiamen Feilu

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.93Total
Qingdao Red Lions0.97
Xiamen Feilu0.96
1X2
35% 31% 34%
Qingdao Red Lions Draw Xiamen Feilu
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 59% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Qingdao Red Lions 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
DWDLLWDWDL
Xiamen Feilu 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
DWDDLLLDWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Qingdao Red Lions 1505 · Xiamen Feilu 1467
Qingdao Red LionsDrawXiamen Feilu
Our model33%34%33%
Market36%29%35%
Estimated total (ours) 1.93 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Qingdao Red LionsXiamen Feilu
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 0.60.7 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.20.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%10/80/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 3.32.6 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 0.32.7 / 0

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Relegation Round, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Tai'an Tiankuang 23887 252332
2 Xiamen Feilu 22787 292829
3 Nantong Haimen Codion 225116 252326
4 Ganzhou Ruishi 23689 193326
5 Qingdao Red Lions 225107 222025
6 Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 225710 182422
7 Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 234811 202620
8 Beijing Institute 234712 224219

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Qingdao Red Lions

DWDLLWDWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/08 Shanghai Port Reserves
China Division 2
0-0 0-2 23 L
19/08 Nantong Haimen Codion
China Division 2
0-0 1-1 16 D
15/08 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
China Division 2
0-0 1-0 42 W
01/08 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 54 D
27/07 Beijing Institute
China Division 2
3-0 6-1 21 W
19/07 Tai'an Tiankuang
China Division 2
0-1 0-1 45 L
12/07 Shandong Taishan Reserves
China Division 2
0-1 0-1 42 L
05/07 Dalian Young Boy Reserves
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 43 D
27/06 Shanghai Segenda
China Division 2
1-0 2-0 24 W
23/06 Dalian Kewei
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 53 D

Xiamen Feilu

DWDDLLLDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/08 Wenzhou FC
China Division 2
0-0 0-2 81 L
16/08 Jiangxi Lushan
China Division 2
0-0 2-0 04 W
08/08 Guangzhou Dandelion
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 23 D
02/08 Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves
China Division 2
1-2 1-5 70 L
29/07 Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
China Division 2
1-1 1-2 93 L
26/07 Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
China Division 2
1-0 1-2 74 L
18/07 Ganzhou Ruishi
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 D
05/07 Shenzhen 2028
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 23 D
27/06 Guangdong Mingtu
China Division 2
1-1 2-1 34 W
23/06 Hubei Istar
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 32 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Qingdao Red Lions vs Xiamen Feilu?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Qingdao Red Lions win (35%). Probabilities: Qingdao Red Lions 35%, draw 31%, Xiamen Feilu 34%.

How many goals are expected in Qingdao Red Lions vs Xiamen Feilu?

The model expects 1.93 goals (Qingdao Red Lions 0.97 · Xiamen Feilu 0.96), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Qingdao Red Lions vs Xiamen Feilu?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.