Prediction: Hearts of Oak vs Basake Holy Stars FC
Team pages: Hearts of Oak · Basake Holy Stars FC
- Hearts of Oak0-0Basake Holy Stars FC
- Basake Holy Stars FC1-2Hearts of Oak
- Basake Holy Stars FC0-0Hearts of Oak
- Hearts of Oak0-1Basake Holy Stars FC
| Hearts of Oak | Draw | Basake Holy Stars FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 29% | 13% |
| Market | 60% | 24% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hearts of Oak (rating 1553 vs 1479).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hearts of Oak | Basake Holy Stars FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.1 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 2.1 | 1 / 2.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 0.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hearts of Oak 1–2–1 Basake Holy Stars FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 Ghana Premier League | Hearts of Oak | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Basake Holy Stars FC |
| 02/11/25 Ghana Premier League | Basake Holy Stars FC | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Hearts of Oak |
| 26/01/25 Ghana Premier League | Basake Holy Stars FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Hearts of Oak |
| 08/09/24 Ghana Premier League | Hearts of Oak | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Basake Holy Stars FC |
Standings · Ghana Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Samartex | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| 2 | Hearts of Oak | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 14 |
| 3 | Medeama SC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Aduana Stars | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Basake Holy Stars FC | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| 6 | Swedru All Blacks Utd | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 11 |
| 7 | Port City FC Ghana | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 11 |
| 8 | Asante Kotoko | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 11 |
| 9 | Berekum Chelsea | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 10 |
| 10 | Ashanti Gold | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 10 |
| 11 | Bechem FC | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| 12 | Karela United FC | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 9 |
| 13 | Heart of Lions | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 8 |
| 14 | Debibi United | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
| 15 | Bibiani Gold Stars | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
| 16 | Vision FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
| 17 | Young Apostles | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 6 |
| 18 | Dreams | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hearts of Oak | Basake Holy Stars FC |
|---|---|---|
| Dreams | 0-0 D | 1-4 L |
| Bechem FC | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Bibiani Gold Stars | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Berekum Chelsea | 4-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Medeama SC | 4-2 W | 1-4 L |
| Aduana Stars | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 0 L | 3 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Hearts of Oak (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hearts of Oak
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Vision FC Ghana Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 11/10 | Port City FC Ghana Ghana Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 03/10 | Dreams Ghana Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 26/09 | Karela United FC Ghana Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 20/09 | Bechem FC Ghana Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 13/09 | Bibiani Gold Stars Ghana Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | Berekum Chelsea Ghana Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Medeama SC Ghana Premier League |
1-0 | 4-2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Samartex Ghana Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | Aduana Stars Ghana Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
Basake Holy Stars FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Bechem FC Ghana Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 11/10 | Bibiani Gold Stars Ghana Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 04/10 | Berekum Chelsea Ghana Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/09 | Medeama SC Ghana Premier League |
1-4 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 20/09 | Ashanti Gold Ghana Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 13/09 | Young Apostles Ghana Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 06/09 | Swedru All Blacks Utd Ghana Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/05 | Dreams Ghana Premier League |
0-2 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | Medeama SC Ghana Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 06/05 | Aduana Stars Ghana Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hearts of Oak vs Basake Holy Stars FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hearts of Oak win (59%). Probabilities: Hearts of Oak 59%, draw 26%, Basake Holy Stars FC 15%.
How many goals are expected in Hearts of Oak vs Basake Holy Stars FC?
The model expects 1.99 goals (Hearts of Oak 1.43 · Basake Holy Stars FC 0.56), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Hearts of Oak vs Basake Holy Stars FC?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.