Football · Ghana Premier League · 25/10, 16:00
Prediction: Bibiani Gold Stars vs Heart of Lions
Team pages: Bibiani Gold Stars · Heart of Lions
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.88Total
Bibiani Gold Stars1.81
Heart of Lions1.08
1X2
Bibiani Gold Stars
Draw
Heart of Lions
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Bibiani Gold Stars
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Heart of Lions
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bibiani Gold Stars
3–3–0
Heart of Lions
(6 last)
- Heart of Lions1-2Bibiani Gold Stars
- Bibiani Gold Stars3-1Heart of Lions
- Bibiani Gold Stars2-1Heart of Lions
- Heart of Lions0-0Bibiani Gold Stars
- Heart of Lions2-2Bibiani Gold Stars
- Bibiani Gold Stars2-2Heart of Lions
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bibiani Gold Stars 1501 · Heart of Lions 1464
| Bibiani Gold Stars | Draw | Heart of Lions | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 25% | 21% |
| Market | 52% | 28% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.88 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Bibiani Gold Stars: 3-3-0.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bibiani Gold Stars | Heart of Lions | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.4 | 1.2 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/11/56% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.1 | 2.8 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.3 | 4.4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bibiani Gold Stars 3–3–0 Heart of Lions
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 Ghana Premier League | Heart of Lions | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Bibiani Gold Stars |
| 20/10/25 Ghana Premier League | Bibiani Gold Stars | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Heart of Lions |
| 01/04/25 Ghana Premier League | Bibiani Gold Stars | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Heart of Lions |
| 29/09/24 Ghana Premier League | Heart of Lions | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Bibiani Gold Stars |
| 25/03/24 Ghana Premier League | Heart of Lions | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Bibiani Gold Stars |
| 23/10/23 Ghana Premier League | Bibiani Gold Stars | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Heart of Lions |
Standings · Ghana Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hearts of Oak | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 17 |
| 2 | Samartex | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| 3 | Medeama SC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Aduana Stars | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Basake Holy Stars FC | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 12 |
| 6 | Swedru All Blacks Utd | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 11 |
| 7 | Port City FC Ghana | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 11 |
| 8 | Asante Kotoko | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 11 |
| 9 | Berekum Chelsea | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 10 |
| 10 | Ashanti Gold | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 10 |
| 11 | Bechem FC | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| 12 | Karela United FC | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 9 |
| 13 | Heart of Lions | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 8 |
| 14 | Debibi United | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
| 15 | Bibiani Gold Stars | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
| 16 | Vision FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
| 17 | Young Apostles | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 6 |
| 18 | Dreams | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 3 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bibiani Gold Stars
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Debibi United Ghana Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 11/10 | Basake Holy Stars FC Ghana Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 03/10 | Vision FC Ghana Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 27/09 | Port City FC Ghana Ghana Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 20/09 | Dreams Ghana Premier League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 13/09 | Hearts of Oak Ghana Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Bechem FC Ghana Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Eleven Wonders Ghana Premier League |
2-1 | 8-3 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Dreams Ghana Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 10 | L |
| 10/05 | Hohoe United FC Ghana Premier League |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
Heart of Lions
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Berekum Chelsea Ghana Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/10 | Medeama SC Ghana Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 04/10 | Ashanti Gold Ghana Premier League |
3-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | Young Apostles Ghana Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 19/09 | Swedru All Blacks Utd Ghana Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 13/09 | Asante Kotoko Ghana Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 06/09 | Aduana Stars Ghana Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Medeama SC Ghana Premier League |
1-2 | 2-5 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | Samartex Ghana Premier League |
3-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/05 | Nations FC Ghana Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bibiani Gold Stars vs Heart of Lions?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bibiani Gold Stars win (53%). Probabilities: Bibiani Gold Stars 53%, draw 27%, Heart of Lions 21%.
How many goals are expected in Bibiani Gold Stars vs Heart of Lions?
The model expects 2.88 goals (Bibiani Gold Stars 1.81 · Heart of Lions 1.08), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Bibiani Gold Stars vs Heart of Lions?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.