Football · Ghana Premier League · 25/10, 16:00
Prediction: Medeama SC vs Aduana Stars
Team pages: Medeama SC · Aduana Stars
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.2Total
Medeama SC1.65
Aduana Stars0.55
1X2
Medeama SC
Draw
Aduana Stars
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
1-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Medeama SC
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Aduana Stars
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Medeama SC
2–3–1
Aduana Stars
(6 last)
- Medeama SC1-1Aduana Stars
- Aduana Stars0-0Medeama SC
- Medeama SC2-0Aduana Stars
- Aduana Stars2-2Medeama SC
- Medeama SC2-0Aduana Stars
- Aduana Stars2-0Medeama SC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Medeama SC 1539 · Aduana Stars 1522
| Medeama SC | Draw | Aduana Stars | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 26% | 11% |
| Market | 64% | 24% | 12% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.2 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Medeama SC: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Medeama SC | Aduana Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.3 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 6.2 | 2 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.2 | 3.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Medeama SC 2–3–1 Aduana Stars
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 Ghana Premier League | Medeama SC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Aduana Stars |
| 08/11/25 Ghana Premier League | Aduana Stars | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Medeama SC |
| 23/03/25 Ghana Premier League | Medeama SC | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Aduana Stars |
| 27/10/24 Ghana Premier League | Aduana Stars | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Medeama SC |
| 21/03/24 Ghana Premier League | Medeama SC | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Aduana Stars |
| 24/09/23 Ghana Premier League | Aduana Stars | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Medeama SC |
Standings · Ghana Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hearts of Oak | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 17 |
| 2 | Samartex | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| 3 | Medeama SC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Aduana Stars | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Basake Holy Stars FC | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 12 |
| 6 | Swedru All Blacks Utd | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 11 |
| 7 | Port City FC Ghana | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 11 |
| 8 | Asante Kotoko | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 11 |
| 9 | Berekum Chelsea | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 10 |
| 10 | Ashanti Gold | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 10 |
| 11 | Bechem FC | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| 12 | Karela United FC | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 9 |
| 13 | Heart of Lions | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 8 |
| 14 | Debibi United | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
| 15 | Bibiani Gold Stars | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
| 16 | Vision FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
| 17 | Young Apostles | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 6 |
| 18 | Dreams | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Medeama SC | Aduana Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Samartex | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Heart of Lions | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Vision FC | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Hearts of Oak | 2-4 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Medeama SC (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Medeama SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Samartex Ghana Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/10 | Heart of Lions Ghana Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 04/10 | Debibi United Ghana Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 30/09 | Port City FC Ghana Ghana Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 14 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | Basake Holy Stars FC Ghana Premier League |
4-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 23/09 | Dreams Ghana Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 19/09 | Vision FC Ghana Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 24/05 | Hearts of Oak Ghana Premier League |
0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Heart of Lions Ghana Premier League |
2-1 | 5-2 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | Basake Holy Stars FC Ghana Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Aduana Stars
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Ashanti Gold Ghana Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 11/10 | Young Apostles Ghana Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 04/10 | Swedru All Blacks Utd Ghana Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 27/09 | Asante Kotoko Ghana Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | Karela United FC Ghana Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | Samartex Ghana Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 06/09 | Heart of Lions Ghana Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 24/05 | Vision FC Ghana Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | Young Apostles Ghana Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Hearts of Oak Ghana Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Medeama SC vs Aduana Stars?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Medeama SC win (64%). Probabilities: Medeama SC 64%, draw 25%, Aduana Stars 12%.
How many goals are expected in Medeama SC vs Aduana Stars?
The model expects 2.2 goals (Medeama SC 1.65 · Aduana Stars 0.55), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Medeama SC vs Aduana Stars?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.