Football · Ghana Premier League · 01/11, 16:00
Prediction: Asante Kotoko vs Medeama SC
Team pages: Asante Kotoko · Medeama SC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.71Total
Asante Kotoko1.52
Medeama SC1.19
1X2
Asante Kotoko
Draw
Medeama SC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Asante Kotoko
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Medeama SC
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Asante Kotoko
1–3–2
Medeama SC
(6 last)
- Medeama SC4-0Asante Kotoko
- Asante Kotoko2-2Medeama SC
- Asante Kotoko3-2Medeama SC
- Medeama SC1-1Asante Kotoko
- Medeama SC2-1Asante Kotoko
- Medeama SC1-1Asante Kotoko
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Asante Kotoko 1475 · Medeama SC 1541
| Asante Kotoko | Draw | Medeama SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 28% | 29% |
| Market | 43% | 29% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Medeama SC (rating 1475 vs 1541).
- H2H favours Medeama SC: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Asante Kotoko | Medeama SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.4 | 2.1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 3.7 | 3.5 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.5 | 3.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Asante Kotoko 1–3–2 Medeama SC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Ghana Premier League | Medeama SC | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Asante Kotoko |
| 30/11/25 Ghana Premier League | Asante Kotoko | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Medeama SC |
| 01/06/25 Ghana Premier League | Asante Kotoko | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Medeama SC |
| 05/01/25 Ghana Premier League | Medeama SC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Asante Kotoko |
| 16/08/24 World Club Friendlies | Medeama SC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Asante Kotoko |
| 27/04/24 Ghana Premier League | Medeama SC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Asante Kotoko |
Standings · Ghana Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Medeama SC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 17 |
| 2 | Hearts of Oak | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 17 |
| 3 | Port City FC Ghana | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | Samartex | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 15 |
| 5 | Swedru All Blacks Utd | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 14 |
| 6 | Bechem FC | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 13 |
| 7 | Aduana Stars | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 13 |
| 8 | Asante Kotoko | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | Basake Holy Stars FC | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Berekum Chelsea | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 11 |
| 10 | Ashanti Gold | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 11 |
| 12 | Vision FC | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 10 |
| 13 | Bibiani Gold Stars | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | Karela United FC | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 9 |
| 15 | Heart of Lions | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 8 |
| 16 | Debibi United | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 7 |
| 17 | Young Apostles | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 6 |
| 18 | Dreams | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Asante Kotoko | Medeama SC |
|---|---|---|
| Aduana Stars | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Samartex | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Heart of Lions | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Debibi United | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Medeama SC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Asante Kotoko
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Ashanti Gold Ghana Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/10 | Young Apostles Ghana Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 10/10 | Swedru All Blacks Utd Ghana Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 01/10 | Karela United FC Ghana Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 27/09 | Aduana Stars Ghana Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 20/09 | Samartex Ghana Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 13/09 | Heart of Lions Ghana Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 06/09 | Debibi United Ghana Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 24/05 | Swedru All Blacks Utd Ghana Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Bechem FC Ghana Premier League |
0-3 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
Medeama SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Aduana Stars Ghana Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 18/10 | Samartex Ghana Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/10 | Heart of Lions Ghana Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 04/10 | Debibi United Ghana Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 30/09 | Port City FC Ghana Ghana Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 14 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | Basake Holy Stars FC Ghana Premier League |
4-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 23/09 | Dreams Ghana Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 19/09 | Vision FC Ghana Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 24/05 | Hearts of Oak Ghana Premier League |
0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Heart of Lions Ghana Premier League |
2-1 | 5-2 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Asante Kotoko vs Medeama SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Asante Kotoko win (43%). Probabilities: Asante Kotoko 43%, draw 28%, Medeama SC 28%.
How many goals are expected in Asante Kotoko vs Medeama SC?
The model expects 2.71 goals (Asante Kotoko 1.52 · Medeama SC 1.19), with a 60% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Asante Kotoko vs Medeama SC?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.