Football · Ghana Premier League · 01/11, 16:00
Prediction: Heart of Lions vs Bechem FC
Team pages: Heart of Lions · Bechem FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.63Total
Heart of Lions1.64
Bechem FC1
1X2
Heart of Lions
Draw
Bechem FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Heart of Lions
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Bechem FC
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Heart of Lions
2–1–3
Bechem FC
(6 last)
- Bechem FC1-0Heart of Lions
- Heart of Lions1-0Bechem FC
- Heart of Lions2-1Bechem FC
- Bechem FC3-0Heart of Lions
- Bechem FC1-1Heart of Lions
- Heart of Lions1-2Bechem FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Heart of Lions 1466 · Bechem FC 1518
| Heart of Lions | Draw | Bechem FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 27% | 22% |
| Market | 50% | 29% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bechem FC (rating 1466 vs 1518).
- H2H favours Bechem FC: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Heart of Lions | Bechem FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.7 | 1.6 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.2 | 1.7 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.3 | 2.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Heart of Lions 2–1–3 Bechem FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/26 Ghana Premier League | Bechem FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Heart of Lions |
| 28/09/25 Ghana Premier League | Heart of Lions | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Bechem FC |
| 01/06/25 Ghana Premier League | Heart of Lions | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Bechem FC |
| 05/01/25 Ghana Premier League | Bechem FC | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Heart of Lions |
| 27/04/24 Ghana Premier League | Bechem FC | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Heart of Lions |
| 18/11/23 Ghana Premier League | Heart of Lions | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Bechem FC |
Standings · Ghana Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Medeama SC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 17 |
| 2 | Hearts of Oak | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 17 |
| 3 | Port City FC Ghana | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | Samartex | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 15 |
| 5 | Swedru All Blacks Utd | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 14 |
| 6 | Bechem FC | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 13 |
| 7 | Aduana Stars | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 13 |
| 8 | Asante Kotoko | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | Basake Holy Stars FC | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Berekum Chelsea | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 11 |
| 10 | Ashanti Gold | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 11 |
| 12 | Vision FC | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 10 |
| 13 | Bibiani Gold Stars | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | Karela United FC | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 9 |
| 15 | Heart of Lions | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 8 |
| 16 | Debibi United | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 7 |
| 17 | Young Apostles | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 6 |
| 18 | Dreams | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 3 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Heart of Lions | Bechem FC |
|---|---|---|
| Bibiani Gold Stars | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Berekum Chelsea | 0-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Asante Kotoko | 1-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Bechem FC (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Heart of Lions
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Bibiani Gold Stars Ghana Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 17/10 | Berekum Chelsea Ghana Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/10 | Medeama SC Ghana Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 04/10 | Ashanti Gold Ghana Premier League |
3-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | Young Apostles Ghana Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 19/09 | Swedru All Blacks Utd Ghana Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 13/09 | Asante Kotoko Ghana Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 06/09 | Aduana Stars Ghana Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Medeama SC Ghana Premier League |
1-2 | 2-5 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | Samartex Ghana Premier League |
3-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
Bechem FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Debibi United Ghana Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/10 | Basake Holy Stars FC Ghana Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 11/10 | Vision FC Ghana Premier League |
1-0 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 04/10 | Port City FC Ghana Ghana Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 27/09 | Dreams Ghana Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/09 | Hearts of Oak Ghana Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 13/09 | Karela United FC Ghana Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Bibiani Gold Stars Ghana Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | Berekum Chelsea Ghana Premier League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Asante Kotoko Ghana Premier League |
3-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Heart of Lions vs Bechem FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Heart of Lions win (51%). Probabilities: Heart of Lions 51%, draw 28%, Bechem FC 21%.
How many goals are expected in Heart of Lions vs Bechem FC?
The model expects 2.63 goals (Heart of Lions 1.64 · Bechem FC 1), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Heart of Lions vs Bechem FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.