Football · Argentina Nacional B · 12/09, 22:00
Prediction: CA Estudiantes Caseros vs Acassuso
Team pages: CA Estudiantes Caseros · Acassuso
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.18Total
CA Estudiantes Caseros1.41
Acassuso0.77
1X2
CA Estudiantes Caseros
Draw
Acassuso
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
CA Estudiantes Caseros
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Acassuso
0-5-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CA Estudiantes Caseros
3–3–0
Acassuso
(6 last)
- Acassuso0-1CA Estudiantes Caseros
- Acassuso1-1CA Estudiantes Caseros
- CA Estudiantes Caseros2-1Acassuso
- Acassuso1-2CA Estudiantes Caseros
- CA Estudiantes Caseros0-0Acassuso
- CA Estudiantes Caseros1-1Acassuso
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CA Estudiantes Caseros 1498 · Acassuso 1423
| CA Estudiantes Caseros | Draw | Acassuso | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 30% | 19% |
| Market | 51% | 30% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.18 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA Estudiantes Caseros (rating 1498 vs 1423).
- H2H favours CA Estudiantes Caseros: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Estudiantes Caseros | Acassuso | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1 | 0.7 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.3 | 1.9 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.3 | 5.6 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Estudiantes Caseros 3–3–0 Acassuso
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Argentina Nacional B | Acassuso | 0-1 HT 0-0 | CA Estudiantes Caseros |
| 23/03/19 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Acassuso | 1-1 HT 1-1 | CA Estudiantes Caseros |
| 16/10/18 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Acassuso |
| 22/04/18 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Acassuso | 1-2 HT 0-1 | CA Estudiantes Caseros |
| 06/12/17 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Acassuso |
| 24/06/17 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Acassuso |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 25 | 54 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 45 | 26 | 52 |
| 3 | Colon | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 35 | 23 | 45 |
| 4 | Almirante Brown | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 16 | 44 |
| 5 | Deportivo Madryn | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 38 | 25 | 43 |
| 6 | Godoy Cruz | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 32 | 24 | 43 |
| 7 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 23 | 23 | 38 |
| 8 | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 25 | 24 | 36 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 15 | 35 |
| 10 | Racing de Cordoba | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 35 |
| 11 | Club Atletico Mitre | 28 | 6 | 13 | 9 | 27 | 35 | 31 |
| 12 | All Boys | 28 | 6 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 24 | 31 |
| 13 | CA Chaco For Ever | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 29 | 29 |
| 14 | Defensores de Belgrano | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 19 | 24 | 29 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 19 | 27 | 29 |
| 16 | CA San Miguel | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 21 | 30 | 29 |
| 17 | CA San Telmo | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 22 | 33 | 28 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 19 | 33 | 23 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Estudiantes Caseros
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 23/08 | Central Norte Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 08/08 | Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 01/08 | Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 25/07 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 17/07 | Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 11/07 | Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B |
3-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 05/07 | Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 20/06 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
Acassuso
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 01/09 | Los Andes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 5 | D |
| 26/08 | CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 21/08 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 14/08 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 09/08 | Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B |
1-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 01/08 | Colon Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 26/07 | CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 12/07 | Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 05/07 | CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA Estudiantes Caseros vs Acassuso?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Estudiantes Caseros win (51%). Probabilities: CA Estudiantes Caseros 51%, draw 30%, Acassuso 19%.
How many goals are expected in CA Estudiantes Caseros vs Acassuso?
The model expects 2.18 goals (CA Estudiantes Caseros 1.41 · Acassuso 0.77), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in CA Estudiantes Caseros vs Acassuso?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.