Football · Argentina Nacional B · 20/09, 22:00
Prediction: Central Norte vs Defensores de Belgrano
Team pages: Central Norte · Defensores de Belgrano
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.82Total
Central Norte1.03
Defensores de Belgrano0.8
1X2
Central Norte
Draw
Defensores de Belgrano
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Central Norte
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
Defensores de Belgrano
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Central Norte
1–1–1
Defensores de Belgrano
(3 last)
- Defensores de Belgrano1-1Central Norte
- Defensores de Belgrano2-0Central Norte
- Central Norte2-1Defensores de Belgrano
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Central Norte 1495 · Defensores de Belgrano 1491
| Central Norte | Draw | Defensores de Belgrano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 35% | 26% |
| Market | 39% | 34% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.82 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Central Norte | Defensores de Belgrano | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1 | 0.8 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.7 | 2.6 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0 | 4.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Central Norte 1–1–1 Defensores de Belgrano
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Argentina Nacional B | Defensores de Belgrano | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Central Norte |
| 27/09/25 Argentina Nacional B | Defensores de Belgrano | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Central Norte |
| 25/05/25 Argentina Nacional B | Central Norte | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Defensores de Belgrano |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 25 | 58 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 47 | 27 | 55 |
| 3 | Godoy Cruz | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 49 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 42 | 28 | 46 |
| 5 | Almirante Brown | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 16 | 46 |
| 6 | Colon | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 35 | 25 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 27 | 25 | 42 |
| 8 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 39 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 17 | 37 |
| 10 | Racing de Cordoba | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 34 | 35 |
| 11 | CA Chaco For Ever | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 29 | 33 |
| 12 | Defensores de Belgrano | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 26 | 33 |
| 13 | All Boys | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 32 |
| 14 | Club Atletico Mitre | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 27 | 37 | 32 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 29 | 6 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 27 | 31 |
| 16 | CA San Miguel | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 24 | 34 | 31 |
| 17 | CA San Telmo | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 34 | 31 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 21 | 34 | 26 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Central Norte | Defensores de Belgrano |
|---|---|---|
| Club Ciudad de Bolivar | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Almirante Brown | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Club Atletico Mitre | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| CA Estudiantes Caseros | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| All Boys | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Los Andes | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Godoy Cruz | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 4 D 1 L | 0 W 3 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Central Norte (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Central Norte
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 06/09 | Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 30/08 | Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 27/08 | Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 23/08 | CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 16/08 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 10/08 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 02/08 | Los Andes Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 12/07 | Colon Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
Defensores de Belgrano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 09/09 | Los Andes Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 04/09 | Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 22/08 | Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 09/08 | Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 01/08 | CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 26/07 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 12/07 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Central Norte vs Defensores de Belgrano?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Central Norte win (39%). Probabilities: Central Norte 39%, draw 35%, Defensores de Belgrano 26%.
How many goals are expected in Central Norte vs Defensores de Belgrano?
The model expects 1.82 goals (Central Norte 1.03 · Defensores de Belgrano 0.8), with a 51% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Central Norte vs Defensores de Belgrano?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.