Football · Argentina Nacional B · 21/09, 20:00
Prediction: Tristan Suarez vs CA Atlanta
Team pages: Tristan Suarez · CA Atlanta
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.16Total
Tristan Suarez1.37
CA Atlanta0.79
1X2
Tristan Suarez
Draw
CA Atlanta
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Tristan Suarez
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
CA Atlanta
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tristan Suarez
1–1–4
CA Atlanta
(6 last)
- CA Atlanta3-1Tristan Suarez
- CA Atlanta1-0Tristan Suarez
- Tristan Suarez0-0CA Atlanta
- Tristan Suarez1-0CA Atlanta
- CA Atlanta3-2Tristan Suarez
- CA Atlanta1-0Tristan Suarez
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tristan Suarez 1539 · CA Atlanta 1507
| Tristan Suarez | Draw | CA Atlanta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 30% | 20% |
| Market | 49% | 30% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.16 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours CA Atlanta: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tristan Suarez | CA Atlanta | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.4 | 1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.1 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.2 | 1.4 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.1 | 4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tristan Suarez 1–1–4 CA Atlanta
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Argentina Nacional B | CA Atlanta | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Tristan Suarez |
| 20/09/25 Argentina Nacional B | CA Atlanta | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Tristan Suarez |
| 18/05/25 Argentina Nacional B | Tristan Suarez | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CA Atlanta |
| 26/08/23 Argentina Nacional B | Tristan Suarez | 1-0 HT 0-0 | CA Atlanta |
| 18/04/23 Argentina Nacional B | CA Atlanta | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Tristan Suarez |
| 16/07/22 Argentina Nacional B | CA Atlanta | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Tristan Suarez |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Atletico Temperley | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 36 | 24 | 53 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 44 | 35 | 52 |
| 3 | Tristan Suarez | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 28 | 14 | 50 |
| 4 | CA Atlanta | 29 | 15 | 3 | 11 | 34 | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 45 |
| 6 | Ferrocarril Midland | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 32 | 25 | 44 |
| 7 | San Martin SJ | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 31 | 27 | 42 |
| 8 | Atletico Rafaela | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 25 | 26 | 42 |
| 9 | Deportivo Maipu | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 30 | 40 |
| 10 | CA Colegiales | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 29 | 28 | 40 |
| 11 | San Martin de Tucuman | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 32 | 30 | 39 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 28 | 24 | 35 |
| 13 | Almagro | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 36 | 35 |
| 14 | Agropecuario | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 25 | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Nueva Chicago | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 21 | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | Patronato Parana | 29 | 5 | 15 | 9 | 23 | 30 | 30 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 19 | 31 | 27 |
| 18 | CA Guemes | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 22 | 46 | 23 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tristan Suarez | CA Atlanta |
|---|---|---|
| San Martin SJ | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Chacarita Juniors | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Nueva Chicago | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Club Atletico Temperley | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tristan Suarez
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 12/09 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 05/09 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 22/08 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 16/08 | Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 10/08 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 11/07 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 04/07 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
CA Atlanta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 26/08 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 15/08 | Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 09/08 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 02/08 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
2-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 28/07 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
0-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 14/07 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tristan Suarez vs CA Atlanta?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tristan Suarez win (49%). Probabilities: Tristan Suarez 49%, draw 30%, CA Atlanta 20%.
How many goals are expected in Tristan Suarez vs CA Atlanta?
The model expects 2.16 goals (Tristan Suarez 1.37 · CA Atlanta 0.79), with a 55% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Tristan Suarez vs CA Atlanta?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.