Football · Argentina Nacional B · 19/09, 22:00

Prediction: San Martin SJ vs CA Colegiales

Team pages: San Martin SJ · CA Colegiales

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.01Total

San Martin SJ1.36

CA Colegiales0.65

1X2

53% 31% 17%

San Martin SJ Draw CA Colegiales

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

1-0 17%

Recent form · 10 last

San Martin SJ 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWLDDDWWWL

CA Colegiales 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWWDLDWWLW

Head-to-head

San Martin SJ 0–1 CA Colegiales (1 last)

CA Colegiales2-0San Martin SJ

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · San Martin SJ 1505 · CA Colegiales 1532

	San Martin SJ	Draw	CA Colegiales
Our model	53%	31%	17%
Market	53%	31%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 2.01 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	San Martin SJ	CA Colegiales
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.9	1.1 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.1	0.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.1	2.6 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.3	4.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.00

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.77

2 (+0.5)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.85

Under 1.751.95

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.7%

Time*	1	X	2
04:12 +5’	1.75	3.00	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · San Martin SJ 0–0–1 CA Colegiales

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Argentina Nacional B	CA Colegiales	2-0 HT 1-0	San Martin SJ

Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tristan Suarez	27	13	10	4	28	14	49
2	Club Atletico Temperley	28	13	10	5	33	23	49
3	Gimnasia Jujuy	28	14	7	7	42	34	49
4	CA Atlanta	29	15	3	11	34	28	48
5	Gimnasia y Tiro	29	12	9	8	31	26	45
6	Ferrocarril Midland	28	11	8	9	31	25	41
7	San Martin SJ	28	11	8	9	31	27	41
8	Deportivo Maipu	29	11	7	11	36	30	40
9	CA Colegiales	29	11	7	11	29	28	40
10	Atletico Rafaela	28	10	9	9	20	22	39
11	San Martin de Tucuman	28	8	12	8	27	26	36
12	Quilmes	29	9	8	12	28	24	35
13	Almagro	29	9	8	12	25	33	35
14	Agropecuario	28	8	9	11	25	31	33
15	Nueva Chicago	29	8	8	13	21	28	32
16	Patronato Parana	28	5	14	9	23	30	29
17	Chacarita Juniors	28	7	6	15	19	30	27
18	CA Guemes	28	5	8	15	22	46	23

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	San Martin SJ	CA Colegiales
Quilmes	0-1 L	1-0 W
Ferrocarril Midland	3-2 W	3-0 W
CA Atlanta	1-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CA Colegiales (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

San Martin SJ

LWLDDDWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Quilmes Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	2	9	L
06/09	Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B	1-0	3-2	4	3	W
30/08	CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	1	5	W
22/08	Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B	2-0	3-1	3	0	W
16/08	Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
09/08	San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-1	1	4	D
01/08	Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-1	6	2	D
26/07	Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-2	8	6	L
12/07	CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
05/07	Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-1	8	9	L

CA Colegiales

LWWDLDWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-0	4	7	W
06/09	Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B	1-1	1-3	13	5	L
03/09	Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B	2-0	3-0	2	5	W
29/08	Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	8	6	W
22/08	Almagro Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
15/08	CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-2	8	4	L
09/08	Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B	0-1	2-2	4	3	D
01/08	Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B	0-0	2-1	9	5	W
27/07	Quilmes Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
14/07	CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	3	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in San Martin SJ vs CA Colegiales?

According to our model, the most likely result is a San Martin SJ win (53%). Probabilities: San Martin SJ 53%, draw 31%, CA Colegiales 17%.

How many goals are expected in San Martin SJ vs CA Colegiales?

The model expects 2.01 goals (San Martin SJ 1.36 · CA Colegiales 0.65), with a 52% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in San Martin SJ vs CA Colegiales?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.