Football · Argentina Nacional B · 12/09, 22:00
Prediction: Defensores de Belgrano vs Deportivo Madryn
Team pages: Defensores de Belgrano · Deportivo Madryn
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2Total
Defensores de Belgrano1.02
Deportivo Madryn0.98
1X2
Defensores de Belgrano
Draw
Deportivo Madryn
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 61%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Defensores de Belgrano
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Madryn
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Defensores de Belgrano
0–1–3
Deportivo Madryn
(4 last)
- Deportivo Madryn2-1Defensores de Belgrano
- Deportivo Madryn0-0Defensores de Belgrano
- Defensores de Belgrano2-3Deportivo Madryn
- Defensores de Belgrano1-2Deportivo Madryn
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Defensores de Belgrano 1472 · Deportivo Madryn 1560
| Defensores de Belgrano | Draw | Deportivo Madryn | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 34% | 32% |
| Market | 34% | 34% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
2 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Madryn (rating 1472 vs 1560).
- H2H favours Deportivo Madryn: 3-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Defensores de Belgrano | Deportivo Madryn | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 1.7 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.9 | 1.8 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.1 | 4.1 / 0.8 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Defensores de Belgrano 0–1–3 Deportivo Madryn
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Madryn | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Defensores de Belgrano |
| 01/09/24 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Madryn | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Defensores de Belgrano |
| 15/04/24 Argentina Nacional B | Defensores de Belgrano | 2-3 HT 2-0 | Deportivo Madryn |
| 05/03/22 Argentina Nacional B | Defensores de Belgrano | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Madryn |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 25 | 54 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 45 | 26 | 52 |
| 3 | Colon | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 35 | 23 | 45 |
| 4 | Almirante Brown | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 16 | 44 |
| 5 | Deportivo Madryn | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 38 | 25 | 43 |
| 6 | Godoy Cruz | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 32 | 24 | 43 |
| 7 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 23 | 23 | 38 |
| 8 | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 25 | 24 | 36 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 15 | 35 |
| 10 | Racing de Cordoba | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 35 |
| 11 | Club Atletico Mitre | 28 | 6 | 13 | 9 | 27 | 35 | 31 |
| 12 | All Boys | 28 | 6 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 24 | 31 |
| 13 | CA Chaco For Ever | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 29 | 29 |
| 14 | Defensores de Belgrano | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 19 | 24 | 29 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 19 | 27 | 29 |
| 16 | CA San Miguel | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 21 | 30 | 29 |
| 17 | CA San Telmo | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 22 | 33 | 28 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 19 | 33 | 23 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Defensores de Belgrano | Deportivo Madryn |
|---|---|---|
| Club Ciudad de Bolivar | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Almirante Brown | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Club Atletico Mitre | 1-2 L | 4-0 W |
| CA Estudiantes Caseros | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| All Boys | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Godoy Cruz | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Deportivo Moron | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 4 L | 5 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Madryn (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Defensores de Belgrano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 22/08 | Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 09/08 | Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 01/08 | CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 26/07 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 12/07 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | L |
Deportivo Madryn
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 30/08 | Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 26/08 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 22/08 | Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 16/08 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 08/08 | CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 02/08 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | Los Andes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 11/07 | Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 05/07 | Colon Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Defensores de Belgrano vs Deportivo Madryn?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Defensores de Belgrano win (34%). Probabilities: Defensores de Belgrano 34%, draw 34%, Deportivo Madryn 32%.
How many goals are expected in Defensores de Belgrano vs Deportivo Madryn?
The model expects 2 goals (Defensores de Belgrano 1.02 · Deportivo Madryn 0.98), with a 52% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Defensores de Belgrano vs Deportivo Madryn?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.