Football · Israel Liga Alef North · 19/10, 16:30

Prediction: Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba

Team pages: Hapoel Bnei Musmus · Hapoel Ironi Arraba

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.62Total

Hapoel Bnei Musmus1.87

Hapoel Ironi Arraba0.75

1X2

63% 23% 14%

Hapoel Bnei Musmus Draw Hapoel Ironi Arraba

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

2-0 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Hapoel Bnei Musmus 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWDLLDWD

Hapoel Ironi Arraba 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

DLLWLLLLDD

Head-to-head

Hapoel Bnei Musmus 1–2 Hapoel Ironi Arraba (3 last)

Hapoel Ironi Arraba2-1Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Hapoel Ironi Arraba0-1Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Hapoel Bnei Musmus0-1Hapoel Ironi Arraba

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hapoel Bnei Musmus 1494 · Hapoel Ironi Arraba 1435

	Hapoel Bnei Musmus	Draw	Hapoel Ironi Arraba
Our model	63%	24%	13%
Market	64%	22%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 2.62 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hapoel Bnei Musmus (rating 1494 vs 1435).
H2H favours Hapoel Ironi Arraba: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 11.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hapoel Bnei Musmus	Hapoel Ironi Arraba
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1	0.7 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	25/38/38%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4	1 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0.5	5.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.10

26.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.98

2 (+1.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.80

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	6.25 → 6.25	Bet365 6.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
21:58 +5’	1.40	4.10	6.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hapoel Bnei Musmus 1–0–2 Hapoel Ironi Arraba

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/11/25 Israel Liga Alef North	Hapoel Ironi Arraba	2-1 HT 1-0	Hapoel Bnei Musmus
18/02/25 Israel Liga Alef North	Hapoel Ironi Arraba	0-1 HT 0-1	Hapoel Bnei Musmus
20/09/24 Israel Liga Alef North	Hapoel Bnei Musmus	0-1 HT 0-0	Hapoel Ironi Arraba

Standings · Israel Liga Alef North · Liga Alef 26/27, North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sport Club Tira	7	5	2	0	13	5	17
2	Ironi Nesher	7	5	1	1	23	6	16
3	Beitar Nahariya	6	4	1	1	10	6	13
4	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	6	3	3	0	9	3	12
5	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	7	3	1	3	15	13	10
6	Hapoel Nof HaGalil	5	3	1	1	10	8	10
7	Hapoel Migdal Haemeq	5	2	2	1	10	8	8
8	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	6	1	4	1	8	8	7
9	Hapoel Beit Shean	3	2	0	1	6	2	6
10	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad	6	1	3	2	6	9	6
11	Hapoel Bnei Musmus	6	1	3	2	3	6	6
12	FC Tzeirey Tamra	6	2	0	4	7	15	6
13	Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye	6	1	2	3	8	10	5
14	Hapoel Bnei Jat United	6	1	2	3	7	11	5
15	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed	6	1	1	4	7	11	4
16	Hapoel Tirat Karmel	5	1	0	4	5	10	3
17	Maccabi Umm al-Fahm	3	0	2	1	2	6	2
18	Hapoel Ironi Arraba	6	0	2	4	2	14	2

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hapoel Bnei Musmus	Hapoel Ironi Arraba
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed	0-0 D	1-4 L
Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	1-0 W	0-4 L
Sport Club Tira	1-1 D	0-4 L
Beitar Nahariya	1-2 L	0-1 L
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	0-3 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Hapoel Bnei Musmus (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hapoel Bnei Musmus

WLWWDLLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
30/09	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	1-0	5	6	W
23/09	Sport Club Tira Israel Liga Alef North	0-1	1-1	5	6	D
18/09	Beitar Nahariya Israel Liga Alef North	1-0	1-2	1	7	L
10/09	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Israel Liga Alef North	0-2	0-3	4	8	L
06/09	Maccabi Umm al-Fahm Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
21/02	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	2-0	4	7	W
12/02	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik Israel Liga Alef North	2-0	2-1	4	4	W
06/02	Hapoel Beit Shean Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-1	5	6	L
30/01	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Israel Liga Alef North	2-1	3-2	3	6	W

Hapoel Ironi Arraba

DLLWLLLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Hapoel Bnei Jat United Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-0	0	5	D
30/09	Hapoel Migdal Haemeq Israel Liga Alef North	1-0	1-1	2	7	D
24/09	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed Israel Liga Alef North	1-2	1-4	5	6	L
19/09	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik Israel Liga Alef North	0-1	0-4	1	2	L
10/09	Sport Club Tira Israel Liga Alef North	–	0-4	–	–	L
06/09	Beitar Nahariya Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
27/02	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Israel Liga Alef North	2-0	2-1	1	7	W
22/02	FC Tzeirey Tamra Israel Liga Alef North	0-2	0-3	3	7	L
13/02	Ironi Nesher Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	1-3	5	10	L
06/02	Maccabi Achi Nazareth Israel Liga Alef North	–	2-2	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hapoel Bnei Musmus win (63%). Probabilities: Hapoel Bnei Musmus 63%, draw 23%, Hapoel Ironi Arraba 14%.

How many goals are expected in Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba?

The model expects 2.62 goals (Hapoel Bnei Musmus 1.87 · Hapoel Ironi Arraba 0.75), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.