Football · Israel Liga Alef North · 19/10, 18:30

Prediction: Hapoel Beit Shean vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel

Team pages: Hapoel Beit Shean · Hapoel Ironi Karmiel

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.39Total

Hapoel Beit Shean1.3

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel1.09

1X2

41% 28% 31%

Hapoel Beit Shean Draw Hapoel Ironi Karmiel

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Hapoel Beit Shean 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LDWWWDLWWD

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

LDDLWWDDDW

Head-to-head

Hapoel Beit Shean 0–1–1 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel (2 last)

Hapoel Beit Shean0-1Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel2-2Hapoel Beit Shean

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hapoel Beit Shean 1528 · Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 1547

	Hapoel Beit Shean	Draw	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
Our model	40%	30%	30%
Market	42%	25%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 2.39 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hapoel Beit Shean	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.8	1.1 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.3	0.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/56/11%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.2	2.3 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.4	5.1 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.50

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
21:59 +5’	2.10	3.50	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hapoel Beit Shean 0–1–1 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/01/26 Israel Liga Alef North	Hapoel Beit Shean	0-1 HT 0-1	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
12/09/25 Israel Liga Alef North	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	2-2 HT 2-1	Hapoel Beit Shean

Standings · Israel Liga Alef North · Liga Alef 26/27, North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sport Club Tira	7	5	2	0	13	5	17
2	Ironi Nesher	7	5	1	1	23	6	16
3	Beitar Nahariya	6	4	1	1	10	6	13
4	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	6	3	3	0	9	3	12
5	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	7	3	1	3	15	13	10
6	Hapoel Nof HaGalil	5	3	1	1	10	8	10
7	Hapoel Migdal Haemeq	5	2	2	1	10	8	8
8	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	6	1	4	1	8	8	7
9	Hapoel Beit Shean	3	2	0	1	6	2	6
10	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad	6	1	3	2	6	9	6
11	Hapoel Bnei Musmus	6	1	3	2	3	6	6
12	FC Tzeirey Tamra	6	2	0	4	7	15	6
13	Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye	6	1	2	3	8	10	5
14	Hapoel Bnei Jat United	6	1	2	3	7	11	5
15	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed	6	1	1	4	7	11	4
16	Hapoel Tirat Karmel	5	1	0	4	5	10	3
17	Maccabi Umm al-Fahm	3	0	2	1	2	6	2
18	Hapoel Ironi Arraba	6	0	2	4	2	14	2

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hapoel Beit Shean	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
Hapoel Tirat Karmel	4-0 W	1-0 W
Sport Club Tira	0-0 D	0-0 D
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	3-2 W	0-0 D
Hapoel Bnei Musmus	1-0 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Hapoel Beit Shean (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hapoel Beit Shean

LDWWWDLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	Hapoel Nof HaGalil Israel Liga Alef North	1-1	1-1	5	4	D
12/10	Hapoel Tirat Karmel Israel Liga Alef North	3-0	4-0	4	5	W
30/09	Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	2-1	3	5	W
23/09	FC Tzeirey Tamra Israel Liga Alef North	–	0-1	–	–	L
26/02	Sport Club Tira Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
19/02	Hapoel Tirat Karmel Israel Liga Alef North	1-0	1-0	9	3	W
12/02	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Israel Liga Alef North	2-1	3-2	5	3	W
06/02	Hapoel Bnei Musmus Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	1-0	3	6	W
31/01	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	2-2	3	3	D
23/01	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Israel Liga Alef North	0-1	0-1	3	5	L

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel

LDDLWWDDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/10	Hapoel Tirat Karmel Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
01/10	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-0	7	6	D
23/09	Ironi Nesher Israel Liga Alef North	0-1	1-1	3	9	D
19/09	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	1-1	4	5	D
10/09	Hapoel Bnei Musmus Israel Liga Alef North	2-0	3-0	0	8	W
04/09	Hapoel Bnei Jat United Israel Liga Alef North	1-1	3-1	3	4	W
27/02	Hapoel Ironi Arraba Israel Liga Alef North	0-2	1-2	7	7	L
19/02	Sport Club Tira Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
13/02	Hapoel Tirat Karmel Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
05/02	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-1	11	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hapoel Beit Shean vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hapoel Beit Shean win (41%). Probabilities: Hapoel Beit Shean 41%, draw 28%, Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 31%.

How many goals are expected in Hapoel Beit Shean vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel?

The model expects 2.39 goals (Hapoel Beit Shean 1.3 · Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 1.09), with a 57% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Hapoel Beit Shean vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.