Football · Israel Liga Alef North · 19/10, 15:00

Prediction: FC Tzeirey Tamra vs Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye

Team pages: FC Tzeirey Tamra · Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.88Total

FC Tzeirey Tamra1.28

Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye1.61

1X2

30% 26% 44%

FC Tzeirey Tamra Draw Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Tzeirey Tamra 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLWLLLLWWL

Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LLDDLDWLLL

Head-to-head

FC Tzeirey Tamra 1–0 Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye (1 last)

FC Tzeirey Tamra1-0Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Tzeirey Tamra 1449 · Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye 1433

	FC Tzeirey Tamra	Draw	Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye
Our model	29%	27%	44%
Market	30%	26%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 2.88 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Tzeirey Tamra	Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2	0.9 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/25/50%	0/63/38%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.1	1.9 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.1	5.5 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.50

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.00

2 (-0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
09:03 +11’	3.00	3.50	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Tzeirey Tamra 1–0–0 Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/11/25 Israel Liga Alef North	FC Tzeirey Tamra	1-0 HT 1-0	Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye

Standings · Israel Liga Alef North · Liga Alef 26/27, North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ironi Nesher	7	5	1	1	23	6	16
2	Sport Club Tira	6	4	2	0	12	5	14
3	Beitar Nahariya	6	4	1	1	10	6	13
4	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	6	3	3	0	9	3	12
5	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	7	3	1	3	15	13	10
6	Hapoel Nof HaGalil	5	3	1	1	10	8	10
7	Hapoel Migdal Haemeq	5	2	2	1	10	8	8
8	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	5	1	4	0	8	7	7
9	Hapoel Beit Shean	3	2	0	1	6	2	6
10	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad	6	1	3	2	6	9	6
11	Hapoel Bnei Musmus	6	1	3	2	3	6	6
12	FC Tzeirey Tamra	6	2	0	4	7	15	6
13	Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye	6	1	2	3	8	10	5
14	Hapoel Bnei Jat United	6	1	2	3	7	11	5
15	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed	6	1	1	4	7	11	4
16	Hapoel Tirat Karmel	5	1	0	4	5	10	3
17	Maccabi Umm al-Fahm	3	0	2	1	2	6	2
18	Hapoel Ironi Arraba	6	0	2	4	2	14	2

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Tzeirey Tamra	Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye
Hapoel Nof HaGalil	3-2 W	1-2 L
Hapoel Beit Shean	1-0 W	1-2 L
Hapoel Tirat Karmel	1-4 L	3-1 W
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	1-2 L	3-3 D
Ironi Nesher	1-6 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Tzeirey Tamra

WLWLLLLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/10	Hapoel Migdal Haemeq Israel Liga Alef North	0-1	0-1	5	6	L
30/09	Hapoel Nof HaGalil Israel Liga Alef North	1-1	3-2	1	7	W
23/09	Hapoel Beit Shean Israel Liga Alef North	–	1-0	–	–	W
18/09	Hapoel Tirat Karmel Israel Liga Alef North	0-1	1-4	3	2	L
09/09	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Israel Liga Alef North	–	1-2	–	–	L
04/09	Ironi Nesher Israel Liga Alef North	0-2	1-6	4	3	L
27/02	Hapoel Migdal Haemeq Israel Liga Alef North	0-1	0-2	13	4	L
22/02	Hapoel Ironi Arraba Israel Liga Alef North	2-0	3-0	1	7	W
13/02	Sport Club Tira Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	1-3	5	3	L
06/02	Hapoel Tirat Karmel Israel Liga Alef North	1-0	2-0	9	5	W

Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye

LLDDLDWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/10	Hapoel Nof HaGalil Israel Liga Alef North	0-1	1-2	1	7	L
08/10	Hapoel Nof HaGalil Israel Liga Alef North	–	1-2	–	–	L
30/09	Hapoel Beit Shean Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	1-2	3	5	L
23/09	Hapoel Tirat Karmel Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	3-1	1	5	W
19/09	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Israel Liga Alef North	1-1	3-3	1	5	D
09/09	Ironi Nesher Israel Liga Alef North	0-2	0-2	4	8	L
05/09	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
27/02	Ironi Nesher Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-0	8	8	D
20/02	Maccabi Achi Nazareth Israel Liga Alef North	–	0-3	–	–	L
13/02	Tzeirey Umm al-Fahm Israel Liga Alef North	0-1	0-1	6	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Tzeirey Tamra vs Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye win (44%). Probabilities: FC Tzeirey Tamra 30%, draw 26%, Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye 44%.

How many goals are expected in FC Tzeirey Tamra vs Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye?

The model expects 2.88 goals (FC Tzeirey Tamra 1.28 · Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye 1.61), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Tzeirey Tamra vs Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.