Football · Israel Liga Alef South · 08/10, 18:00

Prediction: Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Ironi Ashdod

Team pages: Hapoel Marmorek · Maccabi Ironi Ashdod

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.63Total

Hapoel Marmorek1.28

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod1.35

1X2

34% 28% 37%

Hapoel Marmorek Draw Maccabi Ironi Ashdod

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Hapoel Marmorek 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WWDDDWLLLD

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 2-6-2 (W-D-L)

DWLDDLDDDW

Head-to-head

Hapoel Marmorek 0–2–4 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod (6 last)

Hapoel Marmorek1-1Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod5-0Hapoel Marmorek
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod0-0Hapoel Marmorek
Hapoel Marmorek1-2Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod2-1Hapoel Marmorek
Hapoel Marmorek0-1Maccabi Ironi Ashdod

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hapoel Marmorek 1482 · Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 1509

	Hapoel Marmorek	Draw	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
Our model	34%	29%	37%
Market	34%	28%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 2.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Maccabi Ironi Ashdod: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hapoel Marmorek	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1	1.5 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	0.9 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/10/70%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4	1.7 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6 / 0.4	4.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.20

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.02

2 (0)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
06:38 +22’	2.63	3.20	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hapoel Marmorek 0–2–4 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/02/26 Israel Liga Alef South	Hapoel Marmorek	1-1 HT 1-1	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
01/11/25 Israel Liga Alef South	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	5-0 HT 1-0	Hapoel Marmorek
21/03/25 Israel Liga Alef South	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	0-0 HT 0-0	Hapoel Marmorek
29/11/24 Israel Liga Alef South	Hapoel Marmorek	1-2 HT 0-1	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
08/03/24 Israel Liga Alef South	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	2-1 HT 2-0	Hapoel Marmorek
15/12/23 Israel Liga Alef South	Hapoel Marmorek	0-1 HT 0-1	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod

Standings · Israel Liga Alef South · Liga Alef 26/27, South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sport Club Dimona	5	4	0	1	8	7	12
2	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	5	3	2	0	11	3	11
3	MS Jerusalem	5	3	2	0	9	4	11
4	Hapoel Herzliya	5	3	2	0	6	2	11
5	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon	5	3	2	0	5	2	11
6	Shimshon Tel Aviv	5	3	1	1	10	6	10
7	Maccabi Yavne	5	2	2	1	9	3	8
8	Hapoel Hadera	5	2	2	1	8	4	8
9	Maccabi Ironi Sderot	5	2	1	2	6	4	7
10	Hapoel Azor	5	2	1	2	4	6	7
11	Hapoel Holon Yaniv	5	2	1	2	3	5	7
12	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	5	1	3	1	7	6	6
13	Kfar Saba 1928	5	1	1	3	7	7	4
14	Hapoel Marmorek	5	1	1	3	4	6	4
15	Ironi Beit Shemesh	5	1	1	3	5	13	4
16	Hapoel Mahane Yehuda	5	0	2	3	4	8	2
17	Tzeirey Tira	5	0	0	5	1	10	0
18	AS Nordia Jerusalem	5	0	0	5	2	13	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hapoel Marmorek	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
Kfar Saba 1928	2-2 D	1-1 D
Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon	0-1 L	3-2 W
Hapoel Holon Yaniv	0-1 L	2-0 W
Hapoel Hadera	1-0 W	1-1 D
Hapoel Herzliya	1-1 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hapoel Marmorek

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/10	Kfar Saba 1928 Israel Liga Alef South	1-2	2-2	3	5	D
23/09	Shimshon Tel Aviv Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	1-2	10	8	L
18/09	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	0-1	6	7	L
09/09	Hapoel Holon Yaniv Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	0-1	10	6	L
04/09	Hapoel Hadera Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	1-0	0	9	W
27/02	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Israel Liga Alef South	1-1	1-1	1	7	D
20/02	Hapoel Herzliya Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	1-1	3	2	D
13/02	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	1-1	4	5	D
05/02	FC Beitar Yavne Israel Liga Alef South	2-0	2-0	2	8	W
30/01	Hapoel Holon Yaniv Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	2-1	1	7	W

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod

DWLDDLDDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/09	Hapoel Holon Yaniv Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	2-0	2	6	W
24/09	Hapoel Hadera Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	1-1	4	3	D
18/09	Ironi Beit Shemesh Israel Liga Alef South	1-1	2-2	9	3	D
09/09	MS Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
03/09	Hapoel Herzliya Israel Liga Alef South	1-2	1-2	4	6	L
27/02	Hapoel Marmorek Israel Liga Alef South	1-1	1-1	3	7	D
13/02	MS Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South	1-1	3-3	2	5	D
06/02	Tzeirey Tira Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	0-3	2	4	L
30/01	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon Israel Liga Alef South	3-2	3-2	2	4	W
23/01	Kfar Saba 1928 Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	1-1	7	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Ironi Ashdod?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Maccabi Ironi Ashdod win (37%). Probabilities: Hapoel Marmorek 34%, draw 28%, Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 37%.

How many goals are expected in Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Ironi Ashdod?

The model expects 2.63 goals (Hapoel Marmorek 1.28 · Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 1.35), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Ironi Ashdod?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.