Football · Israel Liga Alef South · 09/10, 12:30

Prediction: Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Kfar Saba 1928

Team pages: Shimshon Tel Aviv · Kfar Saba 1928

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.68Total

Shimshon Tel Aviv1.48

Kfar Saba 19281.2

1X2

43% 28% 30%

Shimshon Tel Aviv Draw Kfar Saba 1928

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Shimshon Tel Aviv 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWLDWWDWWL

Kfar Saba 1928 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Shimshon Tel Aviv 0–2–0 Kfar Saba 1928 (2 last)

Shimshon Tel Aviv0-0Kfar Saba 1928
Kfar Saba 19281-1Shimshon Tel Aviv

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shimshon Tel Aviv 1521 · Kfar Saba 1928 1483

	Shimshon Tel Aviv	Draw	Kfar Saba 1928
Our model	42%	28%	30%
Market	43%	28%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.68 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Shimshon Tel Aviv	Kfar Saba 1928
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.3	1.3 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	33/56/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.5	1 / 2.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0.4	5.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.25

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.02

Under 2.51.77

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
06:37 +27’	2.10	3.25	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Shimshon Tel Aviv 0–2–0 Kfar Saba 1928

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/02/26 Israel Liga Alef South	Shimshon Tel Aviv	0-0 HT 0-0	Kfar Saba 1928
16/10/25 Israel Liga Alef South	Kfar Saba 1928	1-1 HT 1-1	Shimshon Tel Aviv

Standings · Israel Liga Alef South · Liga Alef 26/27, South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sport Club Dimona	5	4	0	1	8	7	12
2	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	5	3	2	0	11	3	11
3	MS Jerusalem	5	3	2	0	9	4	11
4	Hapoel Herzliya	5	3	2	0	6	2	11
5	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon	5	3	2	0	5	2	11
6	Shimshon Tel Aviv	5	3	1	1	10	6	10
7	Maccabi Yavne	5	2	2	1	9	3	8
8	Hapoel Hadera	5	2	2	1	8	4	8
9	Maccabi Ironi Sderot	5	2	1	2	6	4	7
10	Hapoel Azor	5	2	1	2	4	6	7
11	Hapoel Holon Yaniv	5	2	1	2	3	5	7
12	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	5	1	3	1	7	6	6
13	Kfar Saba 1928	5	1	1	3	7	7	4
14	Hapoel Marmorek	5	1	1	3	4	6	4
15	Ironi Beit Shemesh	5	1	1	3	5	13	4
16	Hapoel Mahane Yehuda	5	0	2	3	4	8	2
17	Tzeirey Tira	5	0	0	5	1	10	0
18	AS Nordia Jerusalem	5	0	0	5	2	13	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Shimshon Tel Aviv	Kfar Saba 1928
Hapoel Marmorek	2-1 W	2-2 D
Hapoel Holon Yaniv	3-1 W	0-1 L
Hapoel Hadera	2-2 D	0-1 L
Ironi Beit Shemesh	2-0 W	4-1 W
Maccabi Yavne	1-2 L	2-4 L
Maccabi Kiryat Gat	1-3 L	1-4 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Shimshon Tel Aviv (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shimshon Tel Aviv

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/09	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	1-2	1	7	L
23/09	Hapoel Marmorek Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	2-1	2	8	W
17/09	Hapoel Holon Yaniv Israel Liga Alef South	2-0	3-1	3	4	W
09/09	Hapoel Hadera Israel Liga Alef South	2-1	2-2	4	10	D
03/09	Ironi Beit Shemesh Israel Liga Alef South	2-0	2-0	8	3	W
26/02	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	4-2	2	2	W
19/02	Kfar Saba 1928 Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-0	5	7	D
12/02	Maccabi Yavne Israel Liga Alef South	0-2	1-2	3	9	L
05/02	Hapoel Holon Yaniv Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	2-0	3	6	W
31/01	Maccabi Kiryat Gat Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	1-3	4	5	L

Kfar Saba 1928

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/10	Hapoel Marmorek Israel Liga Alef South	2-1	2-2	3	5	D
24/09	Hapoel Holon Yaniv Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
17/09	Hapoel Hadera Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-1	2	8	L
09/09	Ironi Beit Shemesh Israel Liga Alef South	2-0	4-1	1	8	W
04/09	MS Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South	0-2	1-2	6	4	L
27/02	Maccabi Yavne Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	2-4	1	6	L
19/02	Shimshon Tel Aviv Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-0	1	7	D
13/02	Maccabi Kiryat Gat Israel Liga Alef South	1-1	1-4	1	3	L
06/02	Sport Club Dimona Israel Liga Alef South	–	1-0	–	–	W
31/01	AS Nordia Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South	1-1	2-1	4	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Kfar Saba 1928?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Shimshon Tel Aviv win (43%). Probabilities: Shimshon Tel Aviv 43%, draw 28%, Kfar Saba 1928 30%.

How many goals are expected in Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Kfar Saba 1928?

The model expects 2.68 goals (Shimshon Tel Aviv 1.48 · Kfar Saba 1928 1.2), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Kfar Saba 1928?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.