Football · Israel Liga Alef South · 18/10, 19:45
Prediction: Maccabi Ironi Ashdod vs Shimshon Tel Aviv
Team pages: Maccabi Ironi Ashdod · Shimshon Tel Aviv
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.6Total
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod1.21
Shimshon Tel Aviv1.38
1X2
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
Draw
Shimshon Tel Aviv
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
Shimshon Tel Aviv
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
2–3–1
Shimshon Tel Aviv
(6 last)
- Shimshon Tel Aviv1-1Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
- Maccabi Ironi Ashdod1-1Shimshon Tel Aviv
- Shimshon Tel Aviv0-1Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
- Maccabi Ironi Ashdod0-0Shimshon Tel Aviv
- Shimshon Tel Aviv2-1Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
- Maccabi Ironi Ashdod5-1Shimshon Tel Aviv
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 1500 · Shimshon Tel Aviv 1543
| Maccabi Ironi Ashdod | Draw | Shimshon Tel Aviv | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 29% | 40% |
| Market | 31% | 29% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shimshon Tel Aviv (rating 1500 vs 1543).
- H2H favours Maccabi Ironi Ashdod: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Maccabi Ironi Ashdod | Shimshon Tel Aviv | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.6 | 2 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 1 | 1.1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.4 | 2.1 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.2 | 5.3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 2–3–1 Shimshon Tel Aviv
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01/26 Israel Liga Alef South | Shimshon Tel Aviv | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Maccabi Ironi Ashdod |
| 07/03/25 Israel Liga Alef South | Maccabi Ironi Ashdod | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Shimshon Tel Aviv |
| 31/10/24 Israel Liga Alef South | Shimshon Tel Aviv | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Maccabi Ironi Ashdod |
| 15/03/24 Israel Liga Alef South | Maccabi Ironi Ashdod | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Shimshon Tel Aviv |
| 24/12/23 Israel Liga Alef South | Shimshon Tel Aviv | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Maccabi Ironi Ashdod |
| 17/04/23 Israel Liga Alef South | Maccabi Ironi Ashdod | 5-1 HT 1-1 | Shimshon Tel Aviv |
Standings · Israel Liga Alef South · Liga Alef 26/27, South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Club Dimona | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 15 |
| 2 | Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 14 |
| 3 | Shimshon Tel Aviv | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Hapoel Herzliya | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | MS Jerusalem | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 11 |
| 7 | Hapoel Holon Yaniv | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Maccabi Yavne | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
| 9 | Hapoel Hadera | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
| 10 | Hapoel Azor | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 8 |
| 11 | Maccabi Ironi Ashdod | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 7 |
| 12 | Maccabi Ironi Sderot | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
| 13 | Ironi Beit Shemesh | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 7 |
| 14 | Hapoel Marmorek | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
| 15 | Kfar Saba 1928 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 4 |
| 16 | Hapoel Mahane Yehuda | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
| 17 | Tzeirey Tira | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 | AS Nordia Jerusalem | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Maccabi Ironi Ashdod | Shimshon Tel Aviv |
|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Marmorek | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Hapoel Holon Yaniv | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Hapoel Hadera | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Ironi Beit Shemesh | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon | 3-2 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 0 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Shimshon Tel Aviv (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Hapoel Marmorek Israel Liga Alef South |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 30/09 | Hapoel Holon Yaniv Israel Liga Alef South |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 24/09 | Hapoel Hadera Israel Liga Alef South |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 18/09 | Ironi Beit Shemesh Israel Liga Alef South |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 09/09 | MS Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 03/09 | Hapoel Herzliya Israel Liga Alef South |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 27/02 | Hapoel Marmorek Israel Liga Alef South |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 13/02 | MS Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South |
1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 06/02 | Tzeirey Tira Israel Liga Alef South |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 30/01 | Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon Israel Liga Alef South |
3-2 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
Shimshon Tel Aviv
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Kfar Saba 1928 Israel Liga Alef South |
3-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 30/09 | Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon Israel Liga Alef South |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 23/09 | Hapoel Marmorek Israel Liga Alef South |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 17/09 | Hapoel Holon Yaniv Israel Liga Alef South |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 09/09 | Hapoel Hadera Israel Liga Alef South |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 03/09 | Ironi Beit Shemesh Israel Liga Alef South |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 26/02 | Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon Israel Liga Alef South |
1-0 | 4-2 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 19/02 | Kfar Saba 1928 Israel Liga Alef South |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 12/02 | Maccabi Yavne Israel Liga Alef South |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 05/02 | Hapoel Holon Yaniv Israel Liga Alef South |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maccabi Ironi Ashdod vs Shimshon Tel Aviv?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Shimshon Tel Aviv win (39%). Probabilities: Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 32%, draw 29%, Shimshon Tel Aviv 39%.
How many goals are expected in Maccabi Ironi Ashdod vs Shimshon Tel Aviv?
The model expects 2.6 goals (Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 1.21 · Shimshon Tel Aviv 1.38), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Maccabi Ironi Ashdod vs Shimshon Tel Aviv?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.