Football · Israel Liga Alef South · 23/10, 13:00
Prediction: Hapoel Holon Yaniv vs Tzeirey Tira
Team pages: Hapoel Holon Yaniv · Tzeirey Tira
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.61Total
Hapoel Holon Yaniv1.69
Tzeirey Tira0.92
1X2
Hapoel Holon Yaniv
Draw
Tzeirey Tira
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Hapoel Holon Yaniv
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Tzeirey Tira
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hapoel Holon Yaniv
2–1–1
Tzeirey Tira
(4 last)
- Hapoel Holon Yaniv1-3Tzeirey Tira
- Tzeirey Tira0-0Hapoel Holon Yaniv
- Hapoel Holon Yaniv2-0Tzeirey Tira
- Tzeirey Tira0-1Hapoel Holon Yaniv
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hapoel Holon Yaniv 1521 · Tzeirey Tira 1424
| Hapoel Holon Yaniv | Draw | Tzeirey Tira | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 26% | 19% |
| Market | 56% | 24% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.61 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hapoel Holon Yaniv (rating 1521 vs 1424).
- H2H favours Hapoel Holon Yaniv: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hapoel Holon Yaniv | Tzeirey Tira | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.7 | 1.1 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 6.3 | 2 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.5 | 5.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hapoel Holon Yaniv 2–1–1 Tzeirey Tira
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/12/25 Israel Liga Alef South | Hapoel Holon Yaniv | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Tzeirey Tira |
| 28/02/25 Israel Liga Alef South | Tzeirey Tira | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Hapoel Holon Yaniv |
| 05/11/24 Israel Liga Alef South | Hapoel Holon Yaniv | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Tzeirey Tira |
| 29/08/24 Israel Cup | Tzeirey Tira | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Hapoel Holon Yaniv |
Standings · Israel Liga Alef South · Liga Alef 26/27, South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shimshon Tel Aviv | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 16 |
| 2 | Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Sport Club Dimona | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 15 |
| 5 | Hapoel Holon Yaniv | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | Hapoel Herzliya | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Hapoel Hadera | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
| 8 | MS Jerusalem | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 11 |
| 9 | Maccabi Yavne | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 9 |
| 10 | Hapoel Marmorek | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| 11 | Maccabi Ironi Sderot | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 8 |
| 12 | Hapoel Azor | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 8 |
| 13 | Ironi Beit Shemesh | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 8 |
| 14 | Maccabi Ironi Ashdod | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
| 15 | Hapoel Mahane Yehuda | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
| 16 | Kfar Saba 1928 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 4 |
| 17 | Tzeirey Tira | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 | AS Nordia Jerusalem | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 22 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hapoel Holon Yaniv | Tzeirey Tira |
|---|---|---|
| AS Nordia Jerusalem | 5-0 W | 5-2 W |
| Maccabi Ironi Ashdod | 0-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hapoel Holon Yaniv
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Maccabi Yavne Israel Liga Alef South |
1-1 | 3-1 | 15 | 9 | W |
| 08/10 | AS Nordia Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South |
1-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 30/09 | Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Israel Liga Alef South |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 24/09 | Kfar Saba 1928 Israel Liga Alef South |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 17/09 | Shimshon Tel Aviv Israel Liga Alef South |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 09/09 | Hapoel Marmorek Israel Liga Alef South |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 04/09 | Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon Israel Liga Alef South |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 27/02 | Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi Israel Liga Alef South |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 20/02 | Maccabi Yavne Israel Liga Alef South |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 13/02 | FC Beitar Yavne Israel Liga Alef South |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
Tzeirey Tira
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Hapoel Hadera Israel Liga Alef South |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 09/10 | Ironi Beit Shemesh Israel Liga Alef South |
1-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 30/09 | MS Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 23/09 | Hapoel Herzliya Israel Liga Alef South |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 7 | L |
| 17/09 | Sport Club Dimona Israel Liga Alef South |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 09/09 | Hapoel Azor Israel Liga Alef South |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 03/09 | Maccabi Ironi Sderot Israel Liga Alef South |
1-3 | 1-4 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 19/02 | Sport Club Dimona Israel Liga Alef South |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 13/02 | AS Nordia Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South |
3-1 | 5-2 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 06/02 | Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Israel Liga Alef South |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hapoel Holon Yaniv vs Tzeirey Tira?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hapoel Holon Yaniv win (55%). Probabilities: Hapoel Holon Yaniv 55%, draw 25%, Tzeirey Tira 20%.
How many goals are expected in Hapoel Holon Yaniv vs Tzeirey Tira?
The model expects 2.61 goals (Hapoel Holon Yaniv 1.69 · Tzeirey Tira 0.92), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Hapoel Holon Yaniv vs Tzeirey Tira?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.