Football · Israel Liga Alef South · 23/10, 12:35
Prediction: Shimshon Tel Aviv vs AS Nordia Jerusalem
Team pages: Shimshon Tel Aviv · AS Nordia Jerusalem
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.64Total
Shimshon Tel Aviv2.82
AS Nordia Jerusalem0.82
1X2
Shimshon Tel Aviv
Draw
AS Nordia Jerusalem
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Shimshon Tel Aviv
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
AS Nordia Jerusalem
0-0-10 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Shimshon Tel Aviv
0–2–4
AS Nordia Jerusalem
(6 last)
- Shimshon Tel Aviv1-1AS Nordia Jerusalem
- AS Nordia Jerusalem1-0Shimshon Tel Aviv
- Shimshon Tel Aviv2-4AS Nordia Jerusalem
- AS Nordia Jerusalem1-0Shimshon Tel Aviv
- AS Nordia Jerusalem1-0Shimshon Tel Aviv
- Shimshon Tel Aviv2-2AS Nordia Jerusalem
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shimshon Tel Aviv 1550 · AS Nordia Jerusalem 1362
| Shimshon Tel Aviv | Draw | AS Nordia Jerusalem | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | 15% | 8% |
| Market | 82% | 12% | 6% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.64 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shimshon Tel Aviv (rating 1550 vs 1362).
- H2H favours AS Nordia Jerusalem: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shimshon Tel Aviv | AS Nordia Jerusalem | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1 | 0.7 / 3.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/20/10% | 11/22/67% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4 | 1.2 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.3 | 5.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shimshon Tel Aviv 0–2–4 AS Nordia Jerusalem
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/26 Israel Liga Alef South | Shimshon Tel Aviv | 1-1 HT 0-0 | AS Nordia Jerusalem |
| 05/09/25 Israel Liga Alef South | AS Nordia Jerusalem | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Shimshon Tel Aviv |
| 12/02/25 Israel Liga Alef South | Shimshon Tel Aviv | 2-4 HT 1-0 | AS Nordia Jerusalem |
| 15/10/24 Israel Liga Alef South | AS Nordia Jerusalem | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Shimshon Tel Aviv |
| 08/03/24 Israel Liga Alef South | AS Nordia Jerusalem | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Shimshon Tel Aviv |
| 05/10/23 Israel Liga Alef South | Shimshon Tel Aviv | 2-2 HT 0-0 | AS Nordia Jerusalem |
Standings · Israel Liga Alef South · Liga Alef 26/27, South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shimshon Tel Aviv | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 16 |
| 2 | Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Sport Club Dimona | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 15 |
| 5 | Hapoel Holon Yaniv | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | Hapoel Herzliya | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Hapoel Hadera | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
| 8 | MS Jerusalem | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 11 |
| 9 | Maccabi Yavne | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 9 |
| 10 | Hapoel Marmorek | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| 11 | Maccabi Ironi Sderot | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 8 |
| 12 | Hapoel Azor | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 8 |
| 13 | Ironi Beit Shemesh | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 8 |
| 14 | Maccabi Ironi Ashdod | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
| 15 | Hapoel Mahane Yehuda | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
| 16 | Kfar Saba 1928 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 4 |
| 17 | Tzeirey Tira | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 | AS Nordia Jerusalem | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 22 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shimshon Tel Aviv | AS Nordia Jerusalem |
|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Marmorek | 2-1 W | 1-4 L |
| Hapoel Holon Yaniv | 3-1 W | 0-5 L |
| Hapoel Hadera | 2-2 D | 0-4 L |
| Ironi Beit Shemesh | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 0 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Shimshon Tel Aviv (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shimshon Tel Aviv
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Israel Liga Alef South |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 09/10 | Kfar Saba 1928 Israel Liga Alef South |
3-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 30/09 | Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon Israel Liga Alef South |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 23/09 | Hapoel Marmorek Israel Liga Alef South |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 17/09 | Hapoel Holon Yaniv Israel Liga Alef South |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 09/09 | Hapoel Hadera Israel Liga Alef South |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 03/09 | Ironi Beit Shemesh Israel Liga Alef South |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 26/02 | Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon Israel Liga Alef South |
1-0 | 4-2 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 19/02 | Kfar Saba 1928 Israel Liga Alef South |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 12/02 | Maccabi Yavne Israel Liga Alef South |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 9 | L |
AS Nordia Jerusalem
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Hapoel Marmorek Israel Liga Alef South |
0-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 08/10 | Hapoel Holon Yaniv Israel Liga Alef South |
0-1 | 0-5 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 30/09 | Hapoel Hadera Israel Liga Alef South |
0-0 | 0-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 23/09 | Ironi Beit Shemesh Israel Liga Alef South |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 9 | L |
| 18/09 | MS Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 09/09 | Hapoel Herzliya Israel Liga Alef South |
1-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 03/09 | Sport Club Dimona Israel Liga Alef South |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/02 | Hapoel Azor Israel Liga Alef South |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 20/02 | MS Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 13/02 | Tzeirey Tira Israel Liga Alef South |
1-3 | 2-5 | 2 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shimshon Tel Aviv vs AS Nordia Jerusalem?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Shimshon Tel Aviv win (80%). Probabilities: Shimshon Tel Aviv 80%, draw 13%, AS Nordia Jerusalem 7%.
How many goals are expected in Shimshon Tel Aviv vs AS Nordia Jerusalem?
The model expects 3.64 goals (Shimshon Tel Aviv 2.82 · AS Nordia Jerusalem 0.82), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Shimshon Tel Aviv vs AS Nordia Jerusalem?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.