Football · Israel Liga Alef South · 06/11, 11:30
Prediction: Maccabi Ironi Ashdod vs AS Nordia Jerusalem
Team pages: Maccabi Ironi Ashdod · AS Nordia Jerusalem
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.28Total
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod2.25
AS Nordia Jerusalem1.02
1X2
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
Draw
AS Nordia Jerusalem
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
2-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
AS Nordia Jerusalem
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
3–3–0
AS Nordia Jerusalem
(6 last)
- Maccabi Ironi Ashdod3-3AS Nordia Jerusalem
- Maccabi Ironi Ashdod2-1AS Nordia Jerusalem
- AS Nordia Jerusalem0-1Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
- AS Nordia Jerusalem1-1Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
- Maccabi Ironi Ashdod1-1AS Nordia Jerusalem
- AS Nordia Jerusalem0-1Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 1508 · AS Nordia Jerusalem 1389
| Maccabi Ironi Ashdod | Draw | AS Nordia Jerusalem | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 21% | 15% |
| Market | 64% | 21% | 15% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.28 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maccabi Ironi Ashdod (rating 1508 vs 1389).
- H2H favours Maccabi Ironi Ashdod: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Maccabi Ironi Ashdod | AS Nordia Jerusalem | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.1 | 0.5 / 2.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 0.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 11/44/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.3 | 1.7 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.2 | 5.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 3–3–0 AS Nordia Jerusalem
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/12/25 Israel Liga Alef South | Maccabi Ironi Ashdod | 3-3 HT 2-0 | AS Nordia Jerusalem |
| 04/04/25 Israel Liga Alef South | Maccabi Ironi Ashdod | 2-1 HT 1-0 | AS Nordia Jerusalem |
| 10/12/24 Israel Liga Alef South | AS Nordia Jerusalem | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Maccabi Ironi Ashdod |
| 04/04/24 Israel Liga Alef South | AS Nordia Jerusalem | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Maccabi Ironi Ashdod |
| 15/01/24 Israel Liga Alef South | Maccabi Ironi Ashdod | 1-1 HT 0-0 | AS Nordia Jerusalem |
| 18/02/22 Israel Liga Alef South | AS Nordia Jerusalem | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Maccabi Ironi Ashdod |
Standings · Israel Liga Alef South · Liga Alef 26/27, South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Club Dimona | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 21 |
| 2 | Shimshon Tel Aviv | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 19 |
| 3 | Hapoel Holon Yaniv | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 16 |
| 5 | Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 16 |
| 6 | Hapoel Hadera | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 15 |
| 7 | Maccabi Ironi Sderot | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 14 |
| 8 | Hapoel Azor | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 14 |
| 9 | Maccabi Yavne | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 13 |
| 10 | Hapoel Herzliya | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 16 | 13 |
| 11 | Hapoel Marmorek | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | Maccabi Ironi Ashdod | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 11 |
| 13 | Ironi Beit Shemesh | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 11 |
| 14 | MS Jerusalem | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 11 |
| 15 | Hapoel Mahane Yehuda | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 9 |
| 16 | Kfar Saba 1928 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 4 |
| 17 | AS Nordia Jerusalem | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 25 | 3 |
| 18 | Tzeirey Tira | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 18 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Maccabi Ironi Ashdod | AS Nordia Jerusalem |
|---|---|---|
| Kfar Saba 1928 | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Shimshon Tel Aviv | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Hapoel Marmorek | 1-1 D | 1-4 L |
| Hapoel Holon Yaniv | 2-0 W | 0-5 L |
| Hapoel Hadera | 1-1 D | 0-4 L |
| Ironi Beit Shemesh | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| MS Jerusalem | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Hapoel Herzliya | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 4 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 7 L |
Better against common opponents: Maccabi Ironi Ashdod (8 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon Israel Liga Alef South |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 24/10 | Kfar Saba 1928 Israel Liga Alef South |
0-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 18/10 | Shimshon Tel Aviv Israel Liga Alef South |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 08/10 | Hapoel Marmorek Israel Liga Alef South |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 30/09 | Hapoel Holon Yaniv Israel Liga Alef South |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 24/09 | Hapoel Hadera Israel Liga Alef South |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 18/09 | Ironi Beit Shemesh Israel Liga Alef South |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 09/09 | MS Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 03/09 | Hapoel Herzliya Israel Liga Alef South |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 27/02 | Hapoel Marmorek Israel Liga Alef South |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
AS Nordia Jerusalem
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Kfar Saba 1928 Israel Liga Alef South |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 23/10 | Shimshon Tel Aviv Israel Liga Alef South |
0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 19/10 | Hapoel Marmorek Israel Liga Alef South |
0-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 08/10 | Hapoel Holon Yaniv Israel Liga Alef South |
0-1 | 0-5 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 30/09 | Hapoel Hadera Israel Liga Alef South |
0-0 | 0-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 23/09 | Ironi Beit Shemesh Israel Liga Alef South |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 9 | L |
| 18/09 | MS Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 09/09 | Hapoel Herzliya Israel Liga Alef South |
1-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 03/09 | Sport Club Dimona Israel Liga Alef South |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/02 | Hapoel Azor Israel Liga Alef South |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maccabi Ironi Ashdod vs AS Nordia Jerusalem?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Maccabi Ironi Ashdod win (64%). Probabilities: Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 64%, draw 21%, AS Nordia Jerusalem 15%.
How many goals are expected in Maccabi Ironi Ashdod vs AS Nordia Jerusalem?
The model expects 3.28 goals (Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 2.25 · AS Nordia Jerusalem 1.02), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Maccabi Ironi Ashdod vs AS Nordia Jerusalem?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.