Football · Israel Liga Alef South · 06/11, 12:30

Prediction: Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon vs Hapoel Herzliya

Team pages: Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon · Hapoel Herzliya

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.58Total

Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon1.54

Hapoel Herzliya1.04

1X2

49% 26% 25%

Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon Draw Hapoel Herzliya

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

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Hapoel Herzliya 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon 0–2–1 Hapoel Herzliya (3 last)

Hapoel Herzliya1-1Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon
Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon1-2Hapoel Herzliya
Hapoel Herzliya1-1Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon 1532 · Hapoel Herzliya 1475

	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon	Draw	Hapoel Herzliya
Our model	48%	28%	24%
Market	50%	24%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.58 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon (rating 1532 vs 1475).
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon	Hapoel Herzliya
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1	0.9 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.2	0.3 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	11/56/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.5	2 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.2	4.9 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.75

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
00:35 +30’	1.80	3.75	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon 0–2–1 Hapoel Herzliya

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/01/26 Israel Liga Alef South	Hapoel Herzliya	1-1 HT 0-0	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon
11/09/25 Israel Liga Alef South	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon	1-2 HT 0-0	Hapoel Herzliya
23/12/15 Israel Cup	Hapoel Herzliya	1-1 HT 1-1	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon

Standings · Israel Liga Alef South · Liga Alef 26/27, South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sport Club Dimona	9	7	0	2	21	11	21
2	Shimshon Tel Aviv	9	6	1	2	17	8	19
3	Hapoel Holon Yaniv	9	5	2	2	15	7	17
4	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	9	4	4	1	16	8	16
5	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon	9	4	4	1	8	6	16
6	Hapoel Hadera	9	4	3	2	12	7	15
7	Maccabi Ironi Sderot	9	4	2	3	15	10	14
8	Hapoel Azor	8	4	2	2	13	9	14
9	MS Jerusalem	10	4	2	4	15	17	14
10	Maccabi Yavne	9	3	4	2	13	7	13
11	Hapoel Herzliya	9	3	4	2	9	16	13
12	Hapoel Marmorek	9	3	3	3	11	9	12
13	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	9	2	5	2	12	10	11
14	Ironi Beit Shemesh	9	3	2	4	16	18	11
15	Hapoel Mahane Yehuda	9	2	3	4	11	17	9
16	Kfar Saba 1928	9	1	1	7	8	15	4
17	AS Nordia Jerusalem	9	1	0	8	4	25	3
18	Tzeirey Tira	9	0	0	9	2	18	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon	Hapoel Herzliya
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	1-1 D	2-1 W
Sport Club Dimona	0-2 L	0-7 L
Hapoel Azor	1-1 D	1-5 L
Maccabi Ironi Sderot	1-0 W	2-2 D
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda	1-1 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/11	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Israel Liga Alef South	1-1	1-1	5	4	D
23/10	Sport Club Dimona Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-2	5	4	L
19/10	Kfar Saba 1928 Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
08/10	Hapoel Azor Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	1-1	8	5	D
30/09	Shimshon Tel Aviv Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	2-1	7	7	W
23/09	Maccabi Ironi Sderot Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	1-0	5	6	W
18/09	Hapoel Marmorek Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	1-0	1	7	W
09/09	Hapoel Mahane Yehuda Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	1-1	8	1	D
04/09	Hapoel Holon Yaniv Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
26/02	Shimshon Tel Aviv Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	2-4	4	2	L

Hapoel Herzliya

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Sport Club Dimona Israel Liga Alef South	0-4	0-7	2	6	L
22/10	Hapoel Azor Israel Liga Alef South	1-2	1-5	5	7	L
19/10	Maccabi Ironi Sderot Israel Liga Alef South	–	2-2	0	0	D
08/10	Hapoel Mahane Yehuda Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
30/09	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-0	2	7	D
23/09	Tzeirey Tira Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	1-0	4	7	W
18/09	Maccabi Yavne Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
09/09	AS Nordia Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	3-1	7	5	W
03/09	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Israel Liga Alef South	2-1	2-1	4	6	W
27/02	FC Beitar Yavne Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-1	0	8	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon vs Hapoel Herzliya?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon win (49%). Probabilities: Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon 49%, draw 26%, Hapoel Herzliya 25%.

How many goals are expected in Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon vs Hapoel Herzliya?

The model expects 2.58 goals (Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon 1.54 · Hapoel Herzliya 1.04), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon vs Hapoel Herzliya?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.