Football · Israel Liga Alef South · 06/11, 12:00

Prediction: Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Tzeirey Tira

Team pages: Shimshon Tel Aviv · Tzeirey Tira

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.92Total

Shimshon Tel Aviv2.16

Tzeirey Tira0.76

1X2

69% 20% 11%

Shimshon Tel Aviv Draw Tzeirey Tira

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Shimshon Tel Aviv 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWDWWLWWWL

Tzeirey Tira 0-0-10 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Shimshon Tel Aviv 2–1–0 Tzeirey Tira (3 last)

Tzeirey Tira0-2Shimshon Tel Aviv
Tzeirey Tira0-1Shimshon Tel Aviv
Shimshon Tel Aviv1-1Tzeirey Tira

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shimshon Tel Aviv 1562 · Tzeirey Tira 1360

	Shimshon Tel Aviv	Draw	Tzeirey Tira
Our model	69%	20%	11%
Market	69%	20%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 2.92 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shimshon Tel Aviv (rating 1562 vs 1360).
H2H favours Shimshon Tel Aviv: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Shimshon Tel Aviv	Tzeirey Tira
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1	0.3 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.2	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.3	2 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0	6.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.30

X4.50

28.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.90

2 (+1.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.30 → 1.30	Bet365 1.30
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
11:57 +7’	1.30	4.50	8.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Shimshon Tel Aviv 2–1–0 Tzeirey Tira

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/11/25 Israel Liga Alef South	Tzeirey Tira	0-2 HT 0-1	Shimshon Tel Aviv
07/02/25 Israel Liga Alef South	Tzeirey Tira	0-1 HT 0-1	Shimshon Tel Aviv
09/10/24 Israel Liga Alef South	Shimshon Tel Aviv	1-1 HT 1-0	Tzeirey Tira

Standings · Israel Liga Alef South · Liga Alef 26/27, South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sport Club Dimona	8	7	0	1	21	8	21
2	Shimshon Tel Aviv	9	6	1	2	17	8	19
3	Hapoel Holon Yaniv	9	5	2	2	15	7	17
4	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	9	4	4	1	16	8	16
5	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon	9	4	4	1	8	6	16
6	Hapoel Hadera	9	4	3	2	12	7	15
7	Maccabi Ironi Sderot	9	4	2	3	15	10	14
8	Hapoel Azor	8	4	2	2	13	9	14
9	Maccabi Yavne	9	3	4	2	13	7	13
10	Hapoel Herzliya	9	3	4	2	9	16	13
11	Hapoel Marmorek	9	3	3	3	11	9	12
12	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	9	2	5	2	12	10	11
13	Ironi Beit Shemesh	9	3	2	4	16	18	11
14	MS Jerusalem	9	3	2	4	12	17	11
15	Hapoel Mahane Yehuda	9	2	3	4	11	17	9
16	Kfar Saba 1928	9	1	1	7	8	15	4
17	AS Nordia Jerusalem	9	1	0	8	4	25	3
18	Tzeirey Tira	9	0	0	9	2	18	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Shimshon Tel Aviv	Tzeirey Tira
Hapoel Marmorek	2-1 W	0-1 L
Hapoel Holon Yaniv	3-1 W	0-3 L
Hapoel Hadera	2-2 D	0-1 L
Ironi Beit Shemesh	2-0 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 0 L	0 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Shimshon Tel Aviv (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shimshon Tel Aviv

WWDWWLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/11	Maccabi Yavne Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	0-2	3	2	L
23/10	AS Nordia Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	3-0	8	5	W
18/10	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
09/10	Kfar Saba 1928 Israel Liga Alef South	3-0	3-0	9	1	W
30/09	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	1-2	1	7	L
23/09	Hapoel Marmorek Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	2-1	2	8	W
17/09	Hapoel Holon Yaniv Israel Liga Alef South	2-0	3-1	3	4	W
09/09	Hapoel Hadera Israel Liga Alef South	2-1	2-2	4	10	D
03/09	Ironi Beit Shemesh Israel Liga Alef South	2-0	2-0	8	3	W
26/02	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	4-2	2	2	W

Tzeirey Tira

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/10	Hapoel Marmorek Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-1	5	9	L
23/10	Hapoel Holon Yaniv Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-3	8	8	L
19/10	Hapoel Hadera Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-1	3	6	L
09/10	Ironi Beit Shemesh Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	1-3	2	5	L
30/09	MS Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	0-2	7	8	L
23/09	Hapoel Herzliya Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-1	0	7	L
17/09	Sport Club Dimona Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-1	3	7	L
09/09	Hapoel Azor Israel Liga Alef South	0-2	0-2	4	7	L
03/09	Maccabi Ironi Sderot Israel Liga Alef South	1-3	1-4	1	6	L
19/02	Sport Club Dimona Israel Liga Alef South	1-1	1-2	6	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Tzeirey Tira?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Shimshon Tel Aviv win (69%). Probabilities: Shimshon Tel Aviv 69%, draw 20%, Tzeirey Tira 11%.

How many goals are expected in Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Tzeirey Tira?

The model expects 2.92 goals (Shimshon Tel Aviv 2.16 · Tzeirey Tira 0.76), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Tzeirey Tira?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.