Football · Israel Liga Alef North · 18/10, 16:55
Prediction: Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Sport Club Tira
Team pages: Hapoel Umm al-Fahm · Sport Club Tira
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.95Total
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm1.53
Sport Club Tira1.42
1X2
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Draw
Sport Club Tira
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Sport Club Tira
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
1–1–1
Sport Club Tira
(3 last)
- Sport Club Tira5-0Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
- Hapoel Umm al-Fahm1-0Sport Club Tira
- Hapoel Umm al-Fahm0-0Sport Club Tira
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 1506 · Sport Club Tira 1577
| Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | Draw | Sport Club Tira | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 27% | 34% |
| Market | 39% | 27% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.95 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sport Club Tira (rating 1506 vs 1577).
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | Sport Club Tira | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.4 | 1.5 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/67/11% | 33/56/11% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.7 | 2 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.4 | 4.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 1–1–1 Sport Club Tira
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/11/25 Israel Liga Alef North | Sport Club Tira | 5-0 HT 3-0 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm |
| 26/01/19 Israel Liga Alef North | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sport Club Tira |
| 04/11/17 Israel Liga Alef North | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sport Club Tira |
Standings · Israel Liga Alef North · Liga Alef 26/27, North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ironi Nesher | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 6 | 16 |
| 2 | Sport Club Tira | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 14 |
| 3 | Beitar Nahariya | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 10 |
| 6 | Hapoel Nof HaGalil | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 10 |
| 7 | Hapoel Migdal Haemeq | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 8 |
| 8 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 7 |
| 9 | Hapoel Beit Shean | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 10 | Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 6 |
| 11 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
| 12 | FC Tzeirey Tamra | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 6 |
| 13 | Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 5 |
| 14 | Hapoel Bnei Jat United | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 5 |
| 15 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 4 |
| 16 | Hapoel Tirat Karmel | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 3 |
| 17 | Maccabi Umm al-Fahm | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 |
| 18 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 2 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | Sport Club Tira |
|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| FC Tzeirey Tamra | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Hapoel Beit Shean | 2-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Sport Club Tira (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Beitar Nahariya Israel Liga Alef North |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 01/10 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 19/09 | Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye Israel Liga Alef North |
1-1 | 3-3 | 13 | 5 | D |
| 09/09 | FC Tzeirey Tamra Israel Liga Alef North |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 05/09 | Hapoel Nof HaGalil Israel Liga Alef North |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 26/02 | Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 21/02 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 12/02 | Hapoel Beit Shean Israel Liga Alef North |
1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 05/02 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 30/01 | FC Tzeirey Tamra Israel Liga Alef North |
2-1 | 4-2 | 6 | 7 | W |
Sport Club Tira
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Ironi Nesher Israel Liga Alef North |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 30/09 | Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad Israel Liga Alef North |
2-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 23/09 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus Israel Liga Alef North |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 18/09 | Hapoel Bnei Jat United Israel Liga Alef North |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 7 | D |
| 10/09 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba Israel Liga Alef North |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/09 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 26/02 | Hapoel Beit Shean Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 19/02 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 13/02 | FC Tzeirey Tamra Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 3-1 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 06/02 | Ironi Nesher Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Sport Club Tira?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hapoel Umm al-Fahm win (39%). Probabilities: Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 39%, draw 27%, Sport Club Tira 34%.
How many goals are expected in Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Sport Club Tira?
The model expects 2.95 goals (Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 1.53 · Sport Club Tira 1.42), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Sport Club Tira?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.