Football · Switzerland Super League · 07/11, 18:00

Prediction: Lucerne vs Young Boys

Team pages: Lucerne · Young Boys

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.92Total

Lucerne1.82

Young Boys2.09

1X2

34% 22% 44%

Lucerne Draw Young Boys

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Lucerne 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DWDWDLWLLD

Young Boys 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DWDWDDWWWL

Head-to-head

Lucerne 1–1–4 Young Boys (6 last)

Young Boys3-3Lucerne
Lucerne1-2Young Boys
Young Boys2-0Lucerne
Lucerne1-2Young Boys
Young Boys2-1Lucerne
Lucerne5-0Young Boys

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Young Boys (rating 1493 vs 1589).
H2H favours Young Boys: 4-1-1.
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lucerne	Young Boys
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.9	2.8 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	1.4 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 5.2	3.2 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0.1	4.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 42.02

Under 41.82

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 4.3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 22:19

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.52 → 3.77▲	Pinn 3.77
X	4.40 → 4.49▲	Pinn 4.49
2	1.85 → 1.77▼	Pinn 1.77

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 5.1%

Time*	1	X	2
15:52 +16’	3.52	4.40	1.85
22:04 +15’	3.77▲	4.49▲	1.77▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Lucerne 1–1–4 Young Boys

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/09/26 Switzerland Super League	Young Boys	3-3 HT 1-0	Lucerne
04/03/26 Switzerland Super League	Lucerne	1-2 HT 0-0	Young Boys
14/12/25 Switzerland Super League	Young Boys	2-0 HT 1-0	Lucerne
14/09/25 Switzerland Super League	Lucerne	1-2 HT 0-0	Young Boys
15/05/25 Switzerland Super League	Young Boys	2-1 HT 1-0	Lucerne
13/04/25 Switzerland Super League	Lucerne	5-0 HT 2-0	Young Boys

Standings · Switzerland Super League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lugano	12	11	1	0	36	10	34
2	Young Boys	12	7	4	1	38	23	25
3	FC Sion	12	7	2	3	25	18	23
4	FC Zurich	12	6	2	4	25	26	20
5	St Gallen	12	6	1	5	19	22	19
6	Servette	12	5	1	6	17	16	16
7	Basel	12	4	2	6	18	22	14
8	Lucerne	12	3	4	5	19	25	13
9	FC Thun	12	4	1	7	24	34	13
10	FC Vaduz	12	3	1	8	24	25	10
11	Grasshoppers	12	2	4	6	15	28	10
12	FC Lausanne-Sport	12	1	3	8	11	22	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lucerne	Young Boys
FC Zurich	1-2 L	3-5 L
Lugano	0-4 L	2-2 D
Grasshoppers	5-1 W	2-0 W
Basel	2-4 L	3-3 D
FC Vaduz	2-1 W	4-2 W
Servette	1-1 D	3-2 W
FC Lausanne-Sport	1-0 W	2-2 D
St Gallen	2-2 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	4 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Young Boys (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lucerne

DWDWDLWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	FC Sion Switzerland Super League	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
24/10	FC Zurich Switzerland Super League	0-1	1-2	9	3	L
10/10	Lugano Switzerland Super League	0-1	0-4	7	5	L
19/09	Grasshoppers Switzerland Super League	2-0	5-1	5	4	W
13/09	Basel Switzerland Super League	1-2	2-4	6	3	L
05/09	Young Boys Switzerland Super League	0-1	3-3	2	8	D
02/09	FC Vaduz Switzerland Super League	0-0	2-1	3	9	W
29/08	Servette Switzerland Super League	1-1	1-1	1	6	D
22/08	FC Lausanne-Sport Switzerland Super League	1-0	1-0	7	6	W
09/08	St Gallen Switzerland Super League	0-1	2-2	9	8	D

Young Boys

DWDWDDWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	FC Zurich Switzerland Super League	3-2	3-5	8	5	L
24/10	St Gallen Switzerland Super League	0-0	2-0	8	3	W
11/10	Grasshoppers Switzerland Super League	0-0	2-0	5	5	W
19/09	Servette Switzerland Super League	1-2	3-2	10	3	W
12/09	Lugano Switzerland Super League	2-1	2-2	4	5	D
05/09	Lucerne Switzerland Super League	1-0	3-3	8	8	D
01/09	FC Zurich Switzerland Super League	2-1	4-2	3	5	W
29/08	Basel Switzerland Super League	3-2	3-3	9	5	D
23/08	FC Vaduz Switzerland Super League	2-2	4-2	6	4	W
08/08	FC Lausanne-Sport Switzerland Super League	0-0	2-2	2	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lucerne vs Young Boys?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Young Boys win (44%). Probabilities: Lucerne 34%, draw 22%, Young Boys 44%.

How many goals are expected in Lucerne vs Young Boys?

The model expects 3.92 goals (Lucerne 1.82 · Young Boys 2.09), with a 54% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Lucerne vs Young Boys?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.