Football · Switzerland Super League · 08/11, 16:30

Prediction: Servette vs FC Zurich

Team pages: Servette · FC Zurich

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.26Total

Servette1.95

FC Zurich1.31

1X2

51% 25% 24%

Servette Draw FC Zurich

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Servette 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WDLLWWLWWL

FC Zurich 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LLWLDWDWWW

Head-to-head

Servette 3–1–2 FC Zurich (6 last)

FC Zurich2-1Servette
FC Zurich0-2Servette
Servette2-1FC Zurich
Servette1-1FC Zurich
FC Zurich2-1Servette
FC Zurich1-3Servette

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Servette 1544 · FC Zurich 1520

	Servette	Draw	FC Zurich
Our model	51%	24%	25%
Market	51%	25%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 3.26 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Servette: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Servette	FC Zurich
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.3	2.2 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.6	0.8 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.3	1.7 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.1	4.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.70

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 6 moves · last 06:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.85▲	Pinn 1.93
X	4.00 → 3.70▼	Pinn 3.98 ★
2	4.33 → 3.90▼	Bet365 3.90

See the full journey (6)

Bet365 margin 6.7% Pinnacle margin 3.9%

Time*	1	X	2
14:59 +20’	1.67	4.00	4.33
09:14 +2’	1.70▲	3.90▼	4.20▼
19:56 +10’	1.73▲	3.90	4.10▼
07:14 +3’	1.75▲	3.80▼	4.00▼
05:18 +6’	1.83▲	3.75▼	4.00
06:20 +2’	1.85▲	3.70▼	3.90▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:08 +17’	1.68	4.20	4.54
23:15 +3’	1.69▲	4.18▼	4.49▼
08:13 +2’	1.73▲	4.18	4.29▼
19:39 +27’	1.83▲	3.96▼	3.95▼
07:03 +13’	1.88▲	3.96	3.74▼
11:19 +7’	1.91▲	3.94▼	3.70▼
07:31 +51’	1.89▼	3.96▲	3.71▲
03:48 +7’	1.88▼	3.98▲	3.75▲
06:58 +20’	1.88▲	3.95▼	3.76▲
16:36 +57’	1.90▲	4.00▲	3.80▲
00:15 +5’	1.93▲	3.98▼	3.73▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Servette 3–1–2 FC Zurich

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/08/26 Switzerland Super League	FC Zurich	2-1 HT 1-0	Servette
16/05/26 Switzerland Super League	FC Zurich	0-2 HT 0-1	Servette
07/03/26 Switzerland Super League	Servette	2-1 HT 1-0	FC Zurich
18/01/26 Switzerland Super League	Servette	1-1 HT 1-1	FC Zurich
13/09/25 Switzerland Super League	FC Zurich	2-1 HT 2-0	Servette
09/03/25 Switzerland Super League	FC Zurich	1-3 HT 0-2	Servette

Standings · Switzerland Super League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lugano	12	11	1	0	36	10	34
2	Young Boys	12	7	4	1	38	23	25
3	FC Sion	12	7	2	3	25	18	23
4	FC Zurich	12	6	2	4	25	26	20
5	St Gallen	12	6	1	5	19	22	19
6	Servette	12	5	1	6	17	16	16
7	Basel	12	4	2	6	18	22	14
8	Lucerne	12	3	4	5	19	25	13
9	FC Thun	12	4	1	7	24	34	13
10	FC Vaduz	12	3	1	8	24	25	10
11	Grasshoppers	12	2	4	6	15	28	10
12	FC Lausanne-Sport	12	1	3	8	11	22	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Servette	FC Zurich
FC Vaduz	2-1 W	2-1 W
FC Sion	3-0 W	1-1 D
Young Boys	2-3 L	5-3 W
FC Thun	4-2 W	4-2 W
FC Lausanne-Sport	1-0 W	3-2 W
Lugano	0-1 L	0-5 L
Lucerne	1-1 D	2-1 W
Grasshoppers	2-1 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 2 L	5 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Servette (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Servette

WDLLWWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	St Gallen Switzerland Super League	0-1	1-2	4	3	L
24/10	FC Vaduz Switzerland Super League	1-0	2-1	6	6	W
10/10	FC Sion Switzerland Super League	2-0	3-0	5	7	W
19/09	Young Boys Switzerland Super League	2-1	2-3	6	3	L
16/09	FC Thun Switzerland Super League	2-1	4-2	5	6	W
13/09	FC Lausanne-Sport Switzerland Super League	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
06/09	St Gallen Switzerland Super League	0-1	0-2	2	4	L
03/09	Lugano Switzerland Super League	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
29/08	Lucerne Switzerland Super League	1-1	1-1	13	6	D
08/08	Grasshoppers Switzerland Super League	1-1	2-1	7	6	W

FC Zurich

LLWLDWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Young Boys Switzerland Super League	2-3	5-3	6	5	W
24/10	Lucerne Switzerland Super League	1-0	2-1	2	3	W
10/10	FC Thun Switzerland Super League	2-1	4-2	5	3	W
19/09	FC Sion Switzerland Super League	1-1	1-1	5	1	D
13/09	FC Vaduz Switzerland Super League	0-1	2-1	7	2	W
05/09	Grasshoppers Switzerland Super League	0-0	2-2	4	8	D
01/09	Young Boys Switzerland Super League	1-2	2-4	3	5	L
29/08	FC Lausanne-Sport Switzerland Super League	0-1	3-2	6	5	W
22/08	Basel Switzerland Super League	1-0	1-2	4	11	L
09/08	Lugano Switzerland Super League	0-2	0-5	2	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Servette vs FC Zurich?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Servette win (51%). Probabilities: Servette 51%, draw 25%, FC Zurich 24%.

How many goals are expected in Servette vs FC Zurich?

The model expects 3.26 goals (Servette 1.95 · FC Zurich 1.31), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Servette vs FC Zurich?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.