Football · Japan Regional League · 06/09, 10:30

Prediction: Tokyo United FC vs Nihon University

Team pages: Tokyo United FC · Nihon University

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.39Total
Tokyo United FC2.43
Nihon University0.96
1X2
69% 18% 13%
Tokyo United FC Draw Nihon University
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
2-0 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Tokyo United FC 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WLDWWWDLWW
Nihon University 3-0-7 (W-D-L)
LLWLLWLLLW
Head-to-head
Tokyo United FC 2–0 Nihon University (2 last)
  • Tokyo United FC1-0Nihon University
  • Nihon University2-3Tokyo United FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tokyo United FC 1551 · Nihon University 1455
Tokyo United FCDrawNihon University
Our model69%19%12%
Market69%18%13%
Estimated total (ours) 3.39 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tokyo United FC (rating 1551 vs 1455).
  • H2H favours Tokyo United FC: 2-0-0.
  • High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Tokyo United FCNihon University
Goals for / against (FT)2.1 / 0.91.6 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.20.4 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/50/0%40/0/60%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.92.7 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 0.22.2 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tokyo United FC 200 Nihon University

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
24/08/25
Japan Regional League
Tokyo United FC1-0
HT 0-0
Nihon University
04/05/25
Japan Regional League
Nihon University2-3
HT 1-2
Tokyo United FC

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentTokyo United FCNihon University
Tokyo 23 FC 4-1 W 1-2 L
Toin Yokohama University 4-0 W 6-0 W
Toho Titanium 1-2 L 0-2 L
EDO ALL United 1-1 D 2-5 L
Shibuya City FC 3-0 W 0-2 L
Nankatsu SC 1-0 W 0-3 L
Ryutsu Keizai Dragons 4-2 W 2-1 W
Aries Toshima FC 1-0 W 1-4 L
Record vs common 6 W 1 D 1 L 2 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Tokyo United FC (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tokyo United FC

WLDWWWDLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Tokyo 23 FC
Japan Regional League
4-0 4-1 53 W
23/08 Toin Yokohama University
Japan Regional League
1-0 4-0 47 W
08/08 Toho Titanium
Japan Regional League
0-0 1-2 33 L
19/07 EDO ALL United
Japan Regional League
1-0 1-1 33 D
11/07 Shibuya City FC
Japan Regional League
0-0 3-0 52 W
05/07 Nankatsu SC
Japan Regional League
0-0 1-0 71 W
07/06 Ryutsu Keizai Dragons
Japan Regional League
2-1 4-2 54 W
16/05 Tokyo 23 FC
Japan Regional League
0-0 1-1 93 D
02/05 Toin Yokohama University
Japan Regional League
1-1 1-2 54 L
18/04 Aries Toshima FC
Japan Regional League
1-0 1-0 32 W

Nihon University

LLWLLWLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Toin Yokohama University
Japan Regional League
1-0 6-0 65 W
23/08 EDO ALL United
Japan Regional League
0-3 2-5 54 L
16/08 Shibuya City FC
Japan Regional League
0-1 0-2 74 L
26/07 Nankatsu SC
Japan Regional League
0-1 0-3 80 L
19/07 Ryutsu Keizai Dragons
Japan Regional League
1-0 2-1 44 W
12/07 Tokyo 23 FC
Japan Regional League
1-0 1-2 L
05/07 Aries Toshima FC
Japan Regional League
0-2 1-4 101 L
17/06 Ryutsu Keizai Dragons
Japan Regional League
1-0 2-0 42 W
07/06 Toho Titanium
Japan Regional League
0-1 0-2 51 L
16/05 Toin Yokohama University
Japan Regional League
0-3 2-3 80 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tokyo United FC vs Nihon University?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tokyo United FC win (69%). Probabilities: Tokyo United FC 69%, draw 18%, Nihon University 13%.

How many goals are expected in Tokyo United FC vs Nihon University?

The model expects 3.39 goals (Tokyo United FC 2.43 · Nihon University 0.96), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Tokyo United FC vs Nihon University?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.