Prediction: KMG Holdings vs Nippon Steel Oita
Team pages: KMG Holdings · Nippon Steel Oita
- Nippon Steel Oita0-5KMG Holdings
- Nippon Steel Oita0-1KMG Holdings
- Nippon Steel Oita1-5KMG Holdings
- KMG Holdings5-1Nippon Steel Oita
| KMG Holdings | Draw | Nippon Steel Oita | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | 16% | 7% |
| Market | 78% | 14% | 8% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KMG Holdings (rating 1604 vs 1422).
- H2H favours KMG Holdings: 4-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| KMG Holdings | Nippon Steel Oita | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.1 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.7 | 0.9 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0.2 | 2.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · KMG Holdings 4–0–0 Nippon Steel Oita
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 Japan Regional League | Nippon Steel Oita | 0-5 HT 0-2 | KMG Holdings |
| 20/07/25 Japan Regional League | Nippon Steel Oita | 0-1 HT 0-1 | KMG Holdings |
| 14/07/24 Japan Regional League | Nippon Steel Oita | 1-5 HT 1-2 | KMG Holdings |
| 05/05/24 Japan Regional League | KMG Holdings | 5-1 HT 1-1 | Nippon Steel Oita |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | KMG Holdings | Nippon Steel Oita |
|---|---|---|
| MHI Nagasaki | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| CA Celeste | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Nobeoka Agata | 1-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Kawasoe Club | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| NIFS Kanoya FC | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Nexus Miyakonojo | 4-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Veroskronos Tsuno | 0-1 L | 0-5 L |
| Brew Saga | 4-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 7 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 4 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: KMG Holdings (8 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
KMG Holdings
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | MHI Nagasaki Japan Regional League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 19/07 | CA Celeste Japan Regional League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 12/07 | Nobeoka Agata Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 28/06 | Kawasoe Club Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | NIFS Kanoya FC Japan Regional League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 14/06 | Nexus Miyakonojo Japan Regional League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Veroskronos Tsuno Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Brew Saga Japan Regional League |
1-1 | 4-2 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 24/05 | Nippon Steel Oita Japan Regional League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | CA Celeste Japan Regional League |
4-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
Nippon Steel Oita
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Brew Saga Japan Regional League |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 28/06 | Nobeoka Agata Japan Regional League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 27/06 | MHI Nagasaki Japan Regional League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 14/06 | Kawasoe Club Japan Regional League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 13/06 | NIFS Kanoya FC Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 31/05 | Nexus Miyakonojo Japan Regional League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | KMG Holdings Japan Regional League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 19/04 | Veroskronos Tsuno Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 0-5 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 12/04 | CA Celeste Japan Regional League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 1 | D |
| 04/04 | MHI Nagasaki Japan Regional League |
0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in KMG Holdings vs Nippon Steel Oita?
According to our model, the most likely result is a KMG Holdings win (78%). Probabilities: KMG Holdings 78%, draw 15%, Nippon Steel Oita 7%.
How many goals are expected in KMG Holdings vs Nippon Steel Oita?
The model expects 3.25 goals (KMG Holdings 2.57 · Nippon Steel Oita 0.68), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in KMG Holdings vs Nippon Steel Oita?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.