Football · Japan Regional League · 06/09, 08:00

Prediction: Ococias Kyoto AC vs Moriyama Samurai

Team pages: Moriyama Samurai

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.76Total
Ococias Kyoto AC1.76
Moriyama Samurai1
1X2
55% 24% 21%
Ococias Kyoto AC Draw Moriyama Samurai
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Ococias Kyoto AC 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
LWDDWDLLLL
Moriyama Samurai 0-1-9 (W-D-L)
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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ococias Kyoto AC 1460 · Moriyama Samurai 1386
Ococias Kyoto ACDrawMoriyama Samurai
Our model54%26%20%
Market55%23%21%
Estimated total (ours) 2.76 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ococias Kyoto AC (rating 1460 vs 1386).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Ococias Kyoto ACMoriyama Samurai
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.60.4 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 10.2 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 2.91.2 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.3 / 0.31.9 / 0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentOcocias Kyoto ACMoriyama Samurai
FC Basara Hyogo 0-1 L 1-4 L
Velago Ikoma 2-4 L 0-1 L
Ikoma FC Nara 2-4 L 0-2 L
Cento Cuore Harima 0-1 L 1-2 L
Asuka FC 1-1 D 0-2 L
AS Laranja Kyoto 3-1 W 0-1 L
Arterivo Wakayama 1-1 D 0-5 L
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 4 L 0 W 0 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: Ococias Kyoto AC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ococias Kyoto AC

LWDDWDLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/08 FC Basara Hyogo
Japan Regional League
0-0 0-1 61 L
23/08 Velago Ikoma
Japan Regional League
0-4 2-4 21 L
23/08 Ikoma FC Nara
Japan Regional League
0-4 2-4 21 L
04/07 Cento Cuore Harima
Japan Regional League
0-0 0-1 31 L
27/06 Asuka FC
Japan Regional League
1-1 1-1 33 D
13/06 AS Laranja Kyoto
Japan Regional League
1-0 3-1 46 W
06/06 Arterivo Wakayama
Japan Regional League
1-0 1-1 24 D
23/05 FC Basara Hyogo
Japan Regional League
0-0 0-0 46 D
16/05 Velago Ikoma
Japan Regional League
0-0 2-1 13 W
18/04 Cento Cuore Harima
Japan Regional League
0-1 1-2 20 L

Moriyama Samurai

LLDLLLLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/08 Ikoma FC Nara
Japan Regional League
0-0 0-2 53 L
22/08 Asuka FC
Japan Regional League
0-1 0-2 12 L
04/07 Arterivo Wakayama
Japan Regional League
0-1 0-5 14 L
28/06 FC Basara Hyogo
Japan Regional League
1-3 1-4 60 L
14/06 Cento Cuore Harima
Japan Regional League
1-1 1-2 02 L
06/06 AS Laranja Kyoto
Japan Regional League
0-0 0-1 41 L
24/05 Velago Ikoma
Japan Regional League
0-0 0-1 33 L
16/05 Asuka FC
Japan Regional League
0-0 1-1 14 D
12/04 FC Basara Hyogo
Japan Regional League
0-2 1-3 40 L
07/09 Arterivo Wakayama
Japan Regional League
0-2 0-3 30 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ococias Kyoto AC vs Moriyama Samurai?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ococias Kyoto AC win (55%). Probabilities: Ococias Kyoto AC 55%, draw 24%, Moriyama Samurai 21%.

How many goals are expected in Ococias Kyoto AC vs Moriyama Samurai?

The model expects 2.76 goals (Ococias Kyoto AC 1.76 · Moriyama Samurai 1), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Ococias Kyoto AC vs Moriyama Samurai?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.