Football · Hong Kong 2nd Division · 06/09, 09:30

Prediction: Kwai Tsing DFA vs Wong Tai Sin

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.77Total

Kwai Tsing DFA1.45

Wong Tai Sin1.32

1X2

40% 26% 34%

Kwai Tsing DFA Draw Wong Tai Sin

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Kwai Tsing DFA 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWDLWLDWLW

Wong Tai Sin 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

WWLLDDDDWD

Head-to-head

Kwai Tsing DFA 2–1–3 Wong Tai Sin (6 last)

Wong Tai Sin0-1Kwai Tsing DFA
Wong Tai Sin2-1Kwai Tsing DFA
Kwai Tsing DFA2-2Wong Tai Sin
Kwai Tsing DFA2-4Wong Tai Sin
Wong Tai Sin1-2Kwai Tsing DFA
Wong Tai Sin3-0Kwai Tsing DFA

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kwai Tsing DFA 1538 · Wong Tai Sin 1505

	Kwai Tsing DFA	Draw	Wong Tai Sin
Our model	39%	28%	33%
Market	41%	25%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.77 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Wong Tai Sin: 3-1-2.
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kwai Tsing DFA	Wong Tai Sin
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.5	1.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.7	0.1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.5	2.1 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0	4.6 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.60

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
10:08 +8’	2.20	3.60	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kwai Tsing DFA 2–1–3 Wong Tai Sin

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/11/25 Hong Kong 2nd Division	Wong Tai Sin	0-1 HT 0-1	Kwai Tsing DFA
09/03/25 Hong Kong 2nd Division	Wong Tai Sin	2-1 HT 1-0	Kwai Tsing DFA
08/09/24 Hong Kong 2nd Division	Kwai Tsing DFA	2-2 HT 0-1	Wong Tai Sin
05/02/23 Hong Kong 1st Division	Kwai Tsing DFA	2-4 HT 1-4	Wong Tai Sin
23/10/22 Hong Kong 1st Division	Wong Tai Sin	1-2 HT 0-2	Kwai Tsing DFA
12/03/17 Hong Kong 1st Division	Wong Tai Sin	3-0 HT 1-0	Kwai Tsing DFA

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kwai Tsing DFA	Wong Tai Sin
Leaper FC	1-2 L	0-2 L
GFC Friends	4-3 W	3-3 D
Wing Yee	1-1 D	1-1 D
Kwong Wah	5-2 W	3-1 W
Fukien	0-0 D	0-0 D
Kowloon Cricket Club	1-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Kwai Tsing DFA (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kwai Tsing DFA

WWDLWLDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/05	Yau Tsim Mong Hong Kong 2nd Division	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
26/04	Leaper FC Hong Kong 2nd Division	0-1	1-2	10	5	L
12/04	GFC Friends Hong Kong 2nd Division	2-1	4-3	1	6	W
01/03	Wing Yee Hong Kong 2nd Division	1-1	1-1	6	1	D
01/02	Wanchai Hong Kong 2nd Division	0-1	1-4	7	1	L
04/01	Kwong Wah Hong Kong 2nd Division	2-1	5-2	5	4	W
21/12	Sui Tung Hong Kong 2nd Division	0-1	0-1	5	6	L
14/12	Fukien Hong Kong 2nd Division	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
05/12	Tsuen Wan Hong Kong 2nd Division	2-1	4-2	6	5	W
30/11	Kowloon Cricket Club Hong Kong 2nd Division	1-0	1-0	6	6	W

Wong Tai Sin

WWLLDDDDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/05	Kowloon Cricket Club Hong Kong 2nd Division	0-0	1-1	9	2	D
08/03	Kwong Wah Hong Kong 2nd Division	1-0	3-1	2	1	W
04/01	Fukien Hong Kong 2nd Division	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
21/12	Kui Tan SC Hong Kong 2nd Division	0-1	1-1	4	3	D
14/12	Wing Yee Hong Kong 2nd Division	0-0	1-1	6	9	D
30/11	GFC Friends Hong Kong 2nd Division	0-1	3-3	8	4	D
23/11	Kwai Tsing DFA Hong Kong 2nd Division	0-1	0-1	4	8	L
16/11	Leaper FC Hong Kong 2nd Division	0-0	0-2	5	4	L
09/11	Kwong Wah Hong Kong 2nd Division	0-0	1-0	13	6	W
26/10	Sparta Asia Hong Kong 2nd Division	0-0	1-0	1	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kwai Tsing DFA vs Wong Tai Sin?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kwai Tsing DFA win (40%). Probabilities: Kwai Tsing DFA 40%, draw 26%, Wong Tai Sin 34%.

How many goals are expected in Kwai Tsing DFA vs Wong Tai Sin?

The model expects 2.77 goals (Kwai Tsing DFA 1.45 · Wong Tai Sin 1.32), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Kwai Tsing DFA vs Wong Tai Sin?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.