Football · Hong Kong 2nd Division · 13/09, 11:30

Prediction: Wanchai vs Tsuen Wan

Team pages: Wanchai · Tsuen Wan

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.89Total
Wanchai2.72
Tsuen Wan1.17
1X2
70% 17% 14%
Wanchai Draw Tsuen Wan
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Wanchai 6-0-4 (W-D-L)
WWWLWLLWWL
Tsuen Wan 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LLLLLLDWWL
Head-to-head
Wanchai 1–0 Tsuen Wan (1 last)
  • Tsuen Wan0-4Wanchai
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wanchai 1567 · Tsuen Wan 1429
WanchaiDrawTsuen Wan
Our model69%17%13%
Market70%16%14%
Estimated total (ours) 3.89 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wanchai (rating 1567 vs 1429).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

WanchaiTsuen Wan
Goals for / against (FT)2.3 / 1.41.6 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.50.5 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/20/30%10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 3.31.5 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.1 / 0.13 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Wanchai 100 Tsuen Wan

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DateHomeScoreAway
04/01/26
Hong Kong 2nd Division
Tsuen Wan0-4
HT 0-2
Wanchai

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentWanchaiTsuen Wan
GFC Friends 2-1 W 2-3 L
Yau Tsim Mong 0-1 L 0-1 L
Sui Tung 1-3 L 1-2 L
Kwai Tsing DFA 4-1 W 2-4 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 2 L 0 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Wanchai (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wanchai

WWWLWLLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Wing Yee
Hong Kong 2nd Division
0-1 0-2 33 L
24/05 GFC Friends
Hong Kong 2nd Division
0-0 2-1 W
10/05 Wing Yee
Hong Kong 2nd Division
2-1 4-2 34 W
26/04 Yau Tsim Mong
Hong Kong 2nd Division
0-0 0-1 63 L
12/04 Kui Tan SC
Hong Kong 2nd Division
0-1 0-1 25 L
22/03 Leaper FC
Hong Kong 2nd Division
2-0 4-2 52 W
01/03 Sui Tung
Hong Kong 2nd Division
1-2 1-3 33 L
01/02 Kwai Tsing DFA
Hong Kong 2nd Division
1-0 4-1 11 W
04/01 Tsuen Wan
Hong Kong 2nd Division
2-0 4-0 76 W
28/12 GFC Friends
Hong Kong 2nd Division
1-0 4-1 02 W

Tsuen Wan

LLLLLLDWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Kowloon Cricket Club
Hong Kong 2nd Division
0-1 0-1 43 L
10/05 Sparta Asia
Hong Kong 2nd Division
1-1 8-1 36 W
26/04 Tuen Mun SA
Hong Kong 2nd Division
1-1 2-1 54 W
08/03 Fukien
Hong Kong 2nd Division
1-0 1-1 41 D
01/02 Kowloon Cricket Club
Hong Kong 2nd Division
0-1 0-2 42 L
04/01 Wanchai
Hong Kong 2nd Division
0-2 0-4 56 L
21/12 GFC Friends
Hong Kong 2nd Division
1-2 2-3 21 L
14/12 Sui Tung
Hong Kong 2nd Division
0-1 1-2 43 L
05/12 Kwai Tsing DFA
Hong Kong 2nd Division
1-2 2-4 35 L
30/11 Yau Tsim Mong
Hong Kong 2nd Division
0-0 0-1 51 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wanchai vs Tsuen Wan?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wanchai win (70%). Probabilities: Wanchai 70%, draw 17%, Tsuen Wan 14%.

How many goals are expected in Wanchai vs Tsuen Wan?

The model expects 3.89 goals (Wanchai 2.72 · Tsuen Wan 1.17), with a 53% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Wanchai vs Tsuen Wan?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.