Prediction: GFC Friends vs Tuen Mun SA
Team pages: Tuen Mun SA
- GFC Friends2-0Tuen Mun SA
| GFC Friends | Draw | Tuen Mun SA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 23% | 30% |
| Market | 47% | 24% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours GFC Friends (rating 1537 vs 1407).
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| GFC Friends | Tuen Mun SA | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 2.3 | 0.9 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1 | 0.4 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 10/20/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 3.9 | 3.1 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · GFC Friends 1–0–0 Tuen Mun SA
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/25 Hong Kong 2nd Division | GFC Friends | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Tuen Mun SA |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | GFC Friends | Tuen Mun SA |
|---|---|---|
| Sui Tung | 4-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Wing Yee | 4-2 W | 1-2 L |
| Yau Tsim Mong | 4-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Kui Tan SC | 0-2 L | 0-4 L |
| Leaper FC | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: GFC Friends (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
GFC Friends
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Double Flower Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-3 | 1-6 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Wanchai Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | Sui Tung Hong Kong 2nd Division |
2-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Wing Yee Hong Kong 2nd Division |
2-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 12/04 | Kwai Tsing DFA Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 22/03 | Yau Tsim Mong Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 01/03 | Kui Tan SC Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 01/02 | Leaper FC Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 04/01 | Wing Go Fu Moon Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 28/12 | Wanchai Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
Tuen Mun SA
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Yau Tsim Mong Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Tsuen Wan Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 08/02 | Fukien Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 04/01 | Kui Tan SC Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 21/12 | Wing Yee Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 30/11 | Sui Tung Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 09/11 | GFC Friends Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 26/10 | Yau Tsim Mong Hong Kong 2nd Division |
3-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 19/10 | Fukien Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 12/10 | Leaper FC Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in GFC Friends vs Tuen Mun SA?
According to our model, the most likely result is a GFC Friends win (47%). Probabilities: GFC Friends 47%, draw 23%, Tuen Mun SA 29%.
How many goals are expected in GFC Friends vs Tuen Mun SA?
The model expects 3.72 goals (GFC Friends 2.09 · Tuen Mun SA 1.63), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in GFC Friends vs Tuen Mun SA?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.