Football · Hong Kong 2nd Division · 06/09, 11:30

Prediction: Wanchai vs Wing Yee

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.57Total

Wanchai2.03

Wing Yee1.54

1X2

49% 23% 29%

Wanchai Draw Wing Yee

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Wanchai 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLWLLW

Wing Yee 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDWWLDLWLL

Head-to-head

Wanchai 1–5 Wing Yee (6 last)

Wing Yee2-4Wanchai
Wanchai0-1Wing Yee
Wanchai1-2Wing Yee
Wing Yee5-1Wanchai
Wing Yee4-2Wanchai
Wanchai0-4Wing Yee

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wanchai 1575 · Wing Yee 1500

	Wanchai	Draw	Wing Yee
Our model	48%	23%	28%
Market	49%	22%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 3.57 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wanchai (rating 1575 vs 1500).
H2H favours Wing Yee: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wanchai	Wing Yee
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1.2	2.1 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.4	0.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/10/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.5	2 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.1	3.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.83

X4.00

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
10:08 +11’	1.83	4.00	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Wanchai 1–0–5 Wing Yee

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Hong Kong 2nd Division	Wing Yee	2-4 HT 1-2	Wanchai
09/11/25 Hong Kong 2nd Division	Wanchai	0-1 HT 0-0	Wing Yee
31/03/18 Hong Kong 1st Division	Wanchai	1-2 HT 0-0	Wing Yee
03/09/17 Hong Kong 1st Division	Wing Yee	5-1 HT 4-0	Wanchai
09/04/17 Hong Kong 1st Division	Wing Yee	4-2 HT 2-0	Wanchai
02/10/16 Hong Kong 1st Division	Wanchai	0-4 HT 0-2	Wing Yee

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wanchai	Wing Yee
Yau Tsim Mong	0-1 L	5-3 W
Kui Tan SC	0-1 L	1-3 L
Sui Tung	1-3 L	0-2 L
Kwai Tsing DFA	4-1 W	1-1 D
GFC Friends	4-1 W	2-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Wanchai (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wanchai

WWWWWLWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/05	Wing Yee Hong Kong 2nd Division	2-1	4-2	3	4	W
26/04	Yau Tsim Mong Hong Kong 2nd Division	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
12/04	Kui Tan SC Hong Kong 2nd Division	0-1	0-1	2	5	L
22/03	Leaper FC Hong Kong 2nd Division	2-0	4-2	5	2	W
01/03	Sui Tung Hong Kong 2nd Division	1-2	1-3	3	3	L
01/02	Kwai Tsing DFA Hong Kong 2nd Division	1-0	4-1	1	1	W
04/01	Tsuen Wan Hong Kong 2nd Division	2-0	4-0	7	6	W
28/12	GFC Friends Hong Kong 2nd Division	1-0	4-1	0	2	W
21/12	Sparta Asia Hong Kong 2nd Division	1-0	2-1	2	4	W
14/12	Yau Tsim Mong Hong Kong 2nd Division	1-0	2-0	6	1	W

Wing Yee

WDWWLDLWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/05	Wanchai Hong Kong 2nd Division	1-2	2-4	5	4	L
26/04	GFC Friends Hong Kong 2nd Division	1-2	2-4	5	7	L
12/04	Yau Tsim Mong Hong Kong 2nd Division	1-1	5-3	5	2	W
22/03	Sui Tung Hong Kong 2nd Division	0-0	0-2	4	4	L
01/03	Kwai Tsing DFA Hong Kong 2nd Division	1-1	1-1	3	1	D
01/02	Kui Tan SC Hong Kong 2nd Division	1-0	1-3	7	2	L
04/01	Sui Tung Hong Kong 2nd Division	2-1	2-1	2	3	W
21/12	Tuen Mun SA Hong Kong 2nd Division	1-0	2-1	3	4	W
14/12	Wong Tai Sin Hong Kong 2nd Division	0-0	1-1	3	9	D
30/11	Kwong Wah Hong Kong 2nd Division	1-0	5-1	2	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wanchai vs Wing Yee?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wanchai win (49%). Probabilities: Wanchai 49%, draw 23%, Wing Yee 29%.

How many goals are expected in Wanchai vs Wing Yee?

The model expects 3.57 goals (Wanchai 2.03 · Wing Yee 1.54), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Wanchai vs Wing Yee?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.