Football · Hong Kong 2nd Division · 06/09, 09:30

Prediction: Tsuen Wan vs Kowloon Cricket Club

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.21Total
Tsuen Wan1.49
Kowloon Cricket Club1.72
1X2
33% 25% 42%
Tsuen Wan Draw Kowloon Cricket Club
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Tsuen Wan 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
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Kowloon Cricket Club 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
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Head-to-head
Tsuen Wan 0–1 Kowloon Cricket Club (1 last)
  • Tsuen Wan0-2Kowloon Cricket Club
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tsuen Wan 1442 · Kowloon Cricket Club 1498
Tsuen WanDrawKowloon Cricket Club
Our model33%25%42%
Market33%24%43%
Estimated total (ours) 3.21 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kowloon Cricket Club (rating 1442 vs 1498).
  • Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Tsuen WanKowloon Cricket Club
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 2.21.5 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 1.10.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/30/60%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 3.91.6 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 0.22.6 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tsuen Wan 001 Kowloon Cricket Club

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/02/26
Hong Kong 2nd Division
Tsuen Wan0-2
HT 0-1
Kowloon Cricket Club

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentTsuen WanKowloon Cricket Club
Sui Tung 1-2 L 0-1 L
Kwai Tsing DFA 2-4 L 0-1 L
Yau Tsim Mong 0-1 L 3-0 W
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 3 L 1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Kowloon Cricket Club (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tsuen Wan

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/05 Sparta Asia
Hong Kong 2nd Division
1-1 8-1 36 W
26/04 Tuen Mun SA
Hong Kong 2nd Division
1-1 2-1 54 W
08/03 Fukien
Hong Kong 2nd Division
1-0 1-1 41 D
01/02 Kowloon Cricket Club
Hong Kong 2nd Division
0-1 0-2 42 L
04/01 Wanchai
Hong Kong 2nd Division
0-2 0-4 56 L
21/12 GFC Friends
Hong Kong 2nd Division
1-2 2-3 21 L
14/12 Sui Tung
Hong Kong 2nd Division
0-1 1-2 43 L
05/12 Kwai Tsing DFA
Hong Kong 2nd Division
1-2 2-4 35 L
30/11 Yau Tsim Mong
Hong Kong 2nd Division
0-0 0-1 51 L
16/11 Wing Yee
Hong Kong 2nd Division
0-1 0-3 43 L

Kowloon Cricket Club

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/05 Kwong Wah
Hong Kong 2nd Division
2-0 5-0 32 W
17/05 Wong Tai Sin
Hong Kong 2nd Division
0-0 1-1 12 D
08/03 Wing Go Fu Moon
Hong Kong 2nd Division
1-1 2-2 33 D
01/02 Tsuen Wan
Hong Kong 2nd Division
1-0 2-0 32 W
04/01 Leaper FC
Hong Kong 2nd Division
0-0 0-2 13 L
21/12 Yau Tsim Mong
Hong Kong 2nd Division
2-0 3-0 61 W
14/12 Kui Tan SC
Hong Kong 2nd Division
1-2 2-4 13 L
30/11 Kwai Tsing DFA
Hong Kong 2nd Division
0-1 0-1 76 L
23/11 Kwong Wah
Hong Kong 2nd Division
0-0 0-3 21 L
16/11 Sui Tung
Hong Kong 2nd Division
0-1 0-1 64 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tsuen Wan vs Kowloon Cricket Club?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Kowloon Cricket Club win (42%). Probabilities: Tsuen Wan 33%, draw 25%, Kowloon Cricket Club 42%.

How many goals are expected in Tsuen Wan vs Kowloon Cricket Club?

The model expects 3.21 goals (Tsuen Wan 1.49 · Kowloon Cricket Club 1.72), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Tsuen Wan vs Kowloon Cricket Club?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.