Football · South Korea K4 League · 06/09, 12:00

Prediction: Sejong SA vs Seosan Pioneer

Team pages: Sejong SA · Seosan Pioneer

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.41Total
Sejong SA2.15
Seosan Pioneer1.25
1X2
57% 22% 21%
Sejong SA Draw Seosan Pioneer
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Sejong SA 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LLDLWWLWLL
Seosan Pioneer 2-0-8 (W-D-L)
WLLLLLWLLL
Head-to-head
Sejong SA 0–1 Seosan Pioneer (1 last)
  • Seosan Pioneer1-0Sejong SA
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sejong SA 1472 · Seosan Pioneer 1427
Sejong SADrawSeosan Pioneer
Our model57%22%21%
Market57%22%21%
Estimated total (ours) 3.41 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sejong SA (rating 1472 vs 1427).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Sejong SASeosan Pioneer
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 21.3 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.90.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/20/50%10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 5.51.7 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 03 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sejong SA 001 Seosan Pioneer

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DateHomeScoreAway
26/04/26
South Korea K4 League
Seosan Pioneer1-0
HT 1-0
Sejong SA

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSejong SASeosan Pioneer
Jecheon Citizen 4-5 L 2-3 L
Haman 0-1 L 1-2 L
Jincheon HR 4-1 W 0-3 L
Pyeongchang United 1-3 L 2-0 W
Namyangju FC 3-0 W 1-2 L
Geumsan Insam 3-2 W 0-3 L
Gijang United 0-1 L 0-2 L
Pyeongtaek Citizen FC 2-2 D 5-0 W
Jinju Citizen FC 0-4 L 0-1 L
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 5 L 2 W 0 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: Sejong SA (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sejong SA

LLDLWWLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/08 Jecheon Citizen
South Korea K4 League
2-2 4-5 80 L
26/07 Haman
South Korea K4 League
0-0 0-1 35 L
11/07 Jincheon HR
South Korea K4 League
1-0 4-1 64 W
28/06 Pyeongchang United
South Korea K4 League
1-2 1-3 53 L
30/05 Namyangju FC
South Korea K4 League
2-0 3-0 01 W
23/05 Geumsan Insam
South Korea K4 League
1-2 3-2 83 W
17/05 Gijang United
South Korea K4 League
0-1 0-1 143 L
10/05 Pyeongtaek Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
2-0 2-2 48 D
03/05 Jinju Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
0-1 0-4 42 L
26/04 Seosan Pioneer
South Korea K4 League
0-1 0-1 34 L

Seosan Pioneer

WLLLLLWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Namyangju FC
South Korea K4 League
0-2 1-2 74 L
23/08 Geumsan Insam
South Korea K4 League
0-2 0-3 83 L
25/07 Gijang United
South Korea K4 League
0-0 0-2 05 L
12/07 Pyeongtaek Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
3-0 5-0 52 W
27/06 Jinju Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
0-0 0-1 02 L
06/06 Seoul Jungnang FC
South Korea K4 League
0-0 2-4 35 L
31/05 Jecheon Citizen
South Korea K4 League
0-1 2-3 83 L
23/05 Haman
South Korea K4 League
0-0 1-2 40 L
17/05 Jincheon HR
South Korea K4 League
0-1 0-3 33 L
10/05 Pyeongchang United
South Korea K4 League
0-0 2-0 95 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sejong SA vs Seosan Pioneer?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sejong SA win (57%). Probabilities: Sejong SA 57%, draw 22%, Seosan Pioneer 21%.

How many goals are expected in Sejong SA vs Seosan Pioneer?

The model expects 3.41 goals (Sejong SA 2.15 · Seosan Pioneer 1.25), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Sejong SA vs Seosan Pioneer?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.