Football · South Korea K4 League · 06/09, 11:00

Prediction: Jinju Citizen FC vs Namyangju FC

Team pages: Jinju Citizen FC · Namyangju FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.93Total

Jinju Citizen FC1.92

Namyangju FC1.01

1X2

58% 23% 19%

Jinju Citizen FC Draw Namyangju FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Jinju Citizen FC 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WDWLWWWWWD

Namyangju FC 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WLDLWDWWWW

Head-to-head

Jinju Citizen FC 1–2–3 Namyangju FC (6 last)

Namyangju FC0-1Jinju Citizen FC
Namyangju FC0-0Jinju Citizen FC
Jinju Citizen FC0-2Namyangju FC
Namyangju FC2-0Jinju Citizen FC
Jinju Citizen FC1-3Namyangju FC
Namyangju FC0-0Jinju Citizen FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jinju Citizen FC 1577 · Namyangju FC 1539

	Jinju Citizen FC	Draw	Namyangju FC
Our model	58%	24%	18%
Market	58%	23%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 2.93 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Namyangju FC: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Jinju Citizen FC	Namyangju FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 1.1	1.5 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.6	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.7	1.8 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.1	3.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.55

X3.90

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.95

2 (+1)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.55 → 1.55	Bet365 1.55
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
17:18 +6’	1.55	3.90	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Jinju Citizen FC 1–2–3 Namyangju FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 South Korea K4 League	Namyangju FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Jinju Citizen FC
30/08/25 South Korea K4 League	Namyangju FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Jinju Citizen FC
22/06/25 South Korea K4 League	Jinju Citizen FC	0-2 HT 0-1	Namyangju FC
05/04/25 South Korea K4 League	Namyangju FC	2-0 HT 0-0	Jinju Citizen FC
22/06/24 South Korea K4 League	Jinju Citizen FC	1-3 HT 0-0	Namyangju FC
16/03/24 South Korea K4 League	Namyangju FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Jinju Citizen FC

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Jinju Citizen FC	Namyangju FC
Geumsan Insam	1-1 D	1-1 D
Gijang United	4-1 W	1-2 L
Pyeongtaek Citizen FC	2-0 W	2-1 W
Seosan Pioneer	1-0 W	2-1 W
Jecheon Citizen	2-0 W	3-2 W
Haman	4-1 W	2-1 W
Jincheon HR	2-6 L	2-2 D
Geoje Citizen FC	2-2 D	1-0 W
Sejong SA	4-0 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	6 W 2 D 1 L	5 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Jinju Citizen FC (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jinju Citizen FC

WDWLWWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Geumsan Insam South Korea K4 League	0-0	1-1	2	7	D
22/08	Gijang United South Korea K4 League	1-1	4-1	4	3	W
26/07	Pyeongtaek Citizen FC South Korea K4 League	2-0	2-0	5	6	W
27/06	Seosan Pioneer South Korea K4 League	0-0	1-0	10	2	W
06/06	Jecheon Citizen South Korea K4 League	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
31/05	Haman South Korea K4 League	2-0	4-1	6	7	W
23/05	Jincheon HR South Korea K4 League	1-3	2-6	5	2	L
16/05	Pyeongchang United South Korea K4 League	3-0	4-0	1	2	W
10/05	Geoje Citizen FC South Korea K4 League	0-2	2-2	3	10	D
03/05	Sejong SA South Korea K4 League	1-0	4-0	6	2	W

Namyangju FC

WLDLWDWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Seosan Pioneer South Korea K4 League	2-0	2-1	4	4	W
22/08	Seoul Jungnang FC South Korea K4 League	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
25/07	Jecheon Citizen South Korea K4 League	2-2	3-2	4	7	W
12/07	Haman South Korea K4 League	1-0	2-1	2	3	W
28/06	Jincheon HR South Korea K4 League	0-1	2-2	1	3	D
07/06	Geoje Citizen FC South Korea K4 League	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
30/05	Sejong SA South Korea K4 League	0-2	0-3	6	1	L
16/05	Geumsan Insam South Korea K4 League	1-0	1-1	5	3	D
09/05	Gijang United South Korea K4 League	0-1	1-2	3	4	L
03/05	Pyeongtaek Citizen FC South Korea K4 League	1-1	2-1	7	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jinju Citizen FC vs Namyangju FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Jinju Citizen FC win (58%). Probabilities: Jinju Citizen FC 58%, draw 23%, Namyangju FC 19%.

How many goals are expected in Jinju Citizen FC vs Namyangju FC?

The model expects 2.93 goals (Jinju Citizen FC 1.92 · Namyangju FC 1.01), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Jinju Citizen FC vs Namyangju FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.