Football · South Korea K4 League · 12/09, 10:00

Prediction: Jecheon Citizen vs Jincheon HR

Team pages: Jecheon Citizen · Jincheon HR

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.04Total
Jecheon Citizen1.3
Jincheon HR1.74
1X2
28% 25% 47%
Jecheon Citizen Draw Jincheon HR
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Jecheon Citizen 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LDWWLDLLWL
Jincheon HR 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
DWWLWDLWWL
Head-to-head
Jecheon Citizen 0–1 Jincheon HR (1 last)
  • Jincheon HR1-0Jecheon Citizen
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jecheon Citizen 1470 · Jincheon HR 1535
Jecheon CitizenDrawJincheon HR
Our model28%26%47%
Market28%25%47%
Estimated total (ours) 3.04 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jincheon HR (rating 1470 vs 1535).
  • High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Jecheon CitizenJincheon HR
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.82 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.90.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 4.62.7 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.1 / 0.13.5 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Jecheon Citizen 001 Jincheon HR

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DateHomeScoreAway
02/05/26
South Korea K4 League
Jincheon HR1-0
HT 1-0
Jecheon Citizen

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentJecheon CitizenJincheon HR
Pyeongchang United 1-2 L 1-0 W
Sejong SA 5-4 W 1-4 L
Namyangju FC 2-3 L 2-2 D
Gijang United 1-1 D 2-0 W
Jinju Citizen FC 0-2 L 6-2 W
Seosan Pioneer 3-2 W 3-0 W
Seoul Jungnang FC 2-1 W 0-0 D
Haman 0-0 D 1-3 L
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 3 L 4 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Jincheon HR (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jecheon Citizen

LDWWLDLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 Pyeongchang United
South Korea K4 League
1-0 1-2 33 L
23/08 Sejong SA
South Korea K4 League
2-2 5-4 80 W
25/07 Namyangju FC
South Korea K4 League
2-2 2-3 37 L
11/07 Geumsan Insam
South Korea K4 League
0-2 1-2 33 L
28/06 Gijang United
South Korea K4 League
1-0 1-1 52 D
06/06 Jinju Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
0-1 0-2 04 L
31/05 Seosan Pioneer
South Korea K4 League
1-0 3-2 103 W
23/05 Seoul Jungnang FC
South Korea K4 League
1-1 2-1 52 W
09/05 Haman
South Korea K4 League
0-0 0-0 54 D
02/05 Jincheon HR
South Korea K4 League
0-1 0-1 44 L

Jincheon HR

DWWLWDLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Haman
South Korea K4 League
1-0 1-3 63 L
22/08 Pyeongchang United
South Korea K4 League
1-0 1-0 75 W
25/07 Geoje Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
2-1 4-1 81 W
11/07 Sejong SA
South Korea K4 League
0-1 1-4 24 L
28/06 Namyangju FC
South Korea K4 League
1-0 2-2 93 D
07/06 Gijang United
South Korea K4 League
0-0 2-0 46 W
30/05 Pyeongtaek Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
0-0 0-1 85 L
23/05 Jinju Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
3-1 6-2 42 W
17/05 Seosan Pioneer
South Korea K4 League
1-0 3-0 53 W
10/05 Seoul Jungnang FC
South Korea K4 League
0-0 0-0 74 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jecheon Citizen vs Jincheon HR?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Jincheon HR win (47%). Probabilities: Jecheon Citizen 28%, draw 25%, Jincheon HR 47%.

How many goals are expected in Jecheon Citizen vs Jincheon HR?

The model expects 3.04 goals (Jecheon Citizen 1.3 · Jincheon HR 1.74), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Jecheon Citizen vs Jincheon HR?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.