Football · South Korea K4 League · 12/09, 09:00

Prediction: Seosan Pioneer vs Geoje Citizen FC

Team pages: Seosan Pioneer · Geoje Citizen FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.48Total
Seosan Pioneer1.52
Geoje Citizen FC1.96
1X2
29% 24% 47%
Seosan Pioneer Draw Geoje Citizen FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Seosan Pioneer 1-0-9 (W-D-L)
LLLLLWLLLL
Geoje Citizen FC 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
LWWDWWLLWL
Head-to-head
Seosan Pioneer 0–1 Geoje Citizen FC (1 last)
  • Geoje Citizen FC5-0Seosan Pioneer
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Seosan Pioneer 1403 · Geoje Citizen FC 1514
Seosan PioneerDrawGeoje Citizen FC
Our model29%24%47%
Market29%24%47%
Estimated total (ours) 3.48 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Geoje Citizen FC (rating 1403 vs 1514).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Seosan PioneerGeoje Citizen FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 2.22.2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.70.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/50/40%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.41.5 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 0.23.5 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Seosan Pioneer 001 Geoje Citizen FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
02/05/26
South Korea K4 League
Geoje Citizen FC5-0
HT 2-0
Seosan Pioneer

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSeosan PioneerGeoje Citizen FC
Namyangju FC 1-2 L 0-1 L
Geumsan Insam 0-3 L 1-2 L
Gijang United 0-2 L 4-2 W
Pyeongtaek Citizen FC 5-0 W 3-2 W
Jinju Citizen FC 0-1 L 2-2 D
Seoul Jungnang FC 2-4 L 1-0 W
Jecheon Citizen 2-3 L 2-3 L
Jincheon HR 0-3 L 1-4 L
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 7 L 3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Geoje Citizen FC (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Seosan Pioneer

LLLLLWLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Sejong SA
South Korea K4 League
1-1 1-2 65 L
29/08 Namyangju FC
South Korea K4 League
0-2 1-2 74 L
23/08 Geumsan Insam
South Korea K4 League
0-2 0-3 83 L
25/07 Gijang United
South Korea K4 League
0-0 0-2 05 L
12/07 Pyeongtaek Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
3-0 5-0 52 W
27/06 Jinju Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
0-0 0-1 02 L
06/06 Seoul Jungnang FC
South Korea K4 League
0-0 2-4 35 L
31/05 Jecheon Citizen
South Korea K4 League
0-1 2-3 83 L
23/05 Haman
South Korea K4 League
0-0 1-2 40 L
17/05 Jincheon HR
South Korea K4 League
0-1 0-3 33 L

Geoje Citizen FC

LWWDWWLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 Jincheon HR
South Korea K4 League
1-2 1-4 11 L
11/07 Pyeongchang United
South Korea K4 League
1-1 3-1 44 W
07/06 Namyangju FC
South Korea K4 League
0-0 0-1 94 L
31/05 Geumsan Insam
South Korea K4 League
1-1 1-2 52 L
24/05 Gijang United
South Korea K4 League
2-1 4-2 102 W
17/05 Pyeongtaek Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
0-1 3-2 64 W
10/05 Jinju Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
2-0 2-2 510 D
02/05 Seosan Pioneer
South Korea K4 League
2-0 5-0 34 W
25/04 Seoul Jungnang FC
South Korea K4 League
0-0 1-0 42 W
18/04 Jecheon Citizen
South Korea K4 League
0-1 2-3 25 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Seosan Pioneer vs Geoje Citizen FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Geoje Citizen FC win (47%). Probabilities: Seosan Pioneer 29%, draw 24%, Geoje Citizen FC 47%.

How many goals are expected in Seosan Pioneer vs Geoje Citizen FC?

The model expects 3.48 goals (Seosan Pioneer 1.52 · Geoje Citizen FC 1.96), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Seosan Pioneer vs Geoje Citizen FC?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.