Football · South Korea K4 League · 12/09, 10:00

Prediction: Seoul Jungnang FC vs Pyeongchang United

Team pages: Seoul Jungnang FC · Pyeongchang United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.02Total

Seoul Jungnang FC1.78

Pyeongchang United1.24

1X2

50% 24% 26%

Seoul Jungnang FC Draw Pyeongchang United

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Seoul Jungnang FC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LDWLWDWWLW

Pyeongchang United 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LLWWDWLLWW

Head-to-head

Seoul Jungnang FC 0–2–4 Pyeongchang United (6 last)

Pyeongchang United5-2Seoul Jungnang FC
Pyeongchang United2-1Seoul Jungnang FC
Seoul Jungnang FC1-1Pyeongchang United
Pyeongchang United6-1Seoul Jungnang FC
Seoul Jungnang FC0-0Pyeongchang United
Pyeongchang United6-1Seoul Jungnang FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Seoul Jungnang FC 1523 · Pyeongchang United 1503

	Seoul Jungnang FC	Draw	Pyeongchang United
Our model	49%	25%	26%
Market	50%	24%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.02 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Pyeongchang United: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Seoul Jungnang FC	Pyeongchang United
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 0.9	1.5 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.5	2 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.4	3.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.80

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	3.80 → 3.80	Pinn 3.81
2	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 4.47 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
08:23 +7’	1.80	3.80	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
10:13 +17’	1.56	3.81	4.47

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Seoul Jungnang FC 0–2–4 Pyeongchang United

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
24/08/25 South Korea K4 League	Pyeongchang United	5-2 HT 3-1	Seoul Jungnang FC
29/06/25 South Korea K4 League	Pyeongchang United	2-1 HT 1-0	Seoul Jungnang FC
12/04/25 South Korea K4 League	Seoul Jungnang FC	1-1 HT 0-1	Pyeongchang United
24/08/24 South Korea K4 League	Pyeongchang United	6-1 HT 4-1	Seoul Jungnang FC
04/05/24 South Korea K4 League	Seoul Jungnang FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Pyeongchang United
30/07/23 South Korea K4 League	Pyeongchang United	6-1 HT 1-1	Seoul Jungnang FC

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Seoul Jungnang FC	Pyeongchang United
Geumsan Insam	3-1 W	1-1 D
Gijang United	3-0 W	4-2 W
Pyeongtaek Citizen FC	1-1 D	1-0 W
Seosan Pioneer	4-2 W	0-2 L
Jecheon Citizen	1-2 L	2-1 W
Haman	2-1 W	3-2 W
Jincheon HR	0-0 D	0-1 L
Geoje Citizen FC	0-1 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Seoul Jungnang FC (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Seoul Jungnang FC

LDWLWDWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Sejong Vanesse South Korea K4 League	1-0	5-0	5	5	W
22/08	Namyangju FC South Korea K4 League	0-1	0-1	11	5	L
25/07	Geumsan Insam South Korea K4 League	2-1	3-1	2	3	W
11/07	Gijang United South Korea K4 League	1-0	3-0	4	3	W
27/06	Pyeongtaek Citizen FC South Korea K4 League	0-1	1-1	4	1	D
06/06	Seosan Pioneer South Korea K4 League	0-0	4-2	7	5	W
23/05	Jecheon Citizen South Korea K4 League	1-1	1-2	4	2	L
16/05	Haman South Korea K4 League	0-0	2-1	5	3	W
10/05	Jincheon HR South Korea K4 League	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
25/04	Geoje Citizen FC South Korea K4 League	0-0	0-1	7	2	L

Pyeongchang United

LLWWDWLLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Jecheon Citizen South Korea K4 League	0-1	2-1	11	3	W
29/08	Haman South Korea K4 League	0-1	3-2	3	5	W
22/08	Jincheon HR South Korea K4 League	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
11/07	Geoje Citizen FC South Korea K4 League	1-1	1-3	5	4	L
28/06	Sejong SA South Korea K4 League	2-1	3-1	3	3	W
07/06	Geumsan Insam South Korea K4 League	1-0	1-1	5	4	D
30/05	Gijang United South Korea K4 League	3-0	4-2	3	1	W
24/05	Pyeongtaek Citizen FC South Korea K4 League	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
16/05	Jinju Citizen FC South Korea K4 League	0-3	0-4	1	2	L
10/05	Seosan Pioneer South Korea K4 League	0-0	0-2	2	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Seoul Jungnang FC vs Pyeongchang United?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Seoul Jungnang FC win (50%). Probabilities: Seoul Jungnang FC 50%, draw 24%, Pyeongchang United 26%.

How many goals are expected in Seoul Jungnang FC vs Pyeongchang United?

The model expects 3.02 goals (Seoul Jungnang FC 1.78 · Pyeongchang United 1.24), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Seoul Jungnang FC vs Pyeongchang United?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.