Football · South Korea K4 League · 05/09, 10:00

Prediction: Pyeongchang United vs Jecheon Citizen

Team pages: Pyeongchang United · Jecheon Citizen

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Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.87Total
Pyeongchang United1.57
Jecheon Citizen1.3
1X2
42% 27% 31%
Pyeongchang United Draw Jecheon Citizen
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Pyeongchang United 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WLLWWDWLLW
Jecheon Citizen 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WLDWWLDLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pyeongchang United 1496 · Jecheon Citizen 1480
Pyeongchang UnitedDrawJecheon Citizen
Our model42%27%31%
Market42%27%31%
Estimated total (ours) 2.87 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Pyeongchang UnitedJecheon Citizen
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.61.5 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.70.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/20/30%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 3.62.6 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 03.3 / 0.1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPyeongchang UnitedJecheon Citizen
Haman 3-2 W 0-0 D
Jincheon HR 0-1 L 0-1 L
Sejong SA 3-1 W 5-4 W
Geumsan Insam 1-1 D 1-2 L
Gijang United 4-2 W 1-1 D
Pyeongtaek Citizen FC 1-0 W 1-0 W
Jinju Citizen FC 0-4 L 0-2 L
Seosan Pioneer 0-2 L 3-2 W
Record vs common 4 W 1 D 3 L 3 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Pyeongchang United (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pyeongchang United

WLLWWDWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Haman
South Korea K4 League
0-1 3-2 35 W
22/08 Jincheon HR
South Korea K4 League
0-1 0-1 45 L
11/07 Geoje Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
1-1 1-3 54 L
28/06 Sejong SA
South Korea K4 League
2-1 3-1 33 W
07/06 Geumsan Insam
South Korea K4 League
1-0 1-1 54 D
30/05 Gijang United
South Korea K4 League
3-0 4-2 31 W
24/05 Pyeongtaek Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
1-0 1-0 25 W
16/05 Jinju Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
0-3 0-4 12 L
10/05 Seosan Pioneer
South Korea K4 League
0-0 0-2 25 L
18/04 Haman
South Korea K4 League
1-0 2-0 82 W

Jecheon Citizen

WLDWWLDLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/08 Sejong SA
South Korea K4 League
2-2 5-4 80 W
25/07 Namyangju FC
South Korea K4 League
2-2 2-3 37 L
11/07 Geumsan Insam
South Korea K4 League
0-2 1-2 33 L
28/06 Gijang United
South Korea K4 League
1-0 1-1 52 D
06/06 Jinju Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
0-1 0-2 04 L
31/05 Seosan Pioneer
South Korea K4 League
1-0 3-2 103 W
23/05 Seoul Jungnang FC
South Korea K4 League
1-1 2-1 52 W
09/05 Haman
South Korea K4 League
0-0 0-0 54 D
02/05 Jincheon HR
South Korea K4 League
0-1 0-1 44 L
26/04 Pyeongtaek Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
0-0 1-0 65 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pyeongchang United vs Jecheon Citizen?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Pyeongchang United win (42%). Probabilities: Pyeongchang United 42%, draw 27%, Jecheon Citizen 31%.

How many goals are expected in Pyeongchang United vs Jecheon Citizen?

The model expects 2.87 goals (Pyeongchang United 1.57 · Jecheon Citizen 1.3), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Pyeongchang United vs Jecheon Citizen?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.