Football · South Korea K4 League · 05/09, 10:00

Prediction: Geumsan Insam vs Pyeongtaek Citizen FC

Team pages: Geumsan Insam · Pyeongtaek Citizen FC

See it on the live radar ↗
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.2Total
Geumsan Insam2.19
Pyeongtaek Citizen FC1.01
1X2
64% 21% 16%
Geumsan Insam Draw Pyeongtaek Citizen FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Geumsan Insam 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
DDLWDWWLWD
Pyeongtaek Citizen FC 1-2-7 (W-D-L)
LDLLWLDLLL
Head-to-head
Geumsan Insam 1–0 Pyeongtaek Citizen FC (1 last)
  • Pyeongtaek Citizen FC2-7Geumsan Insam
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Geumsan Insam 1536 · Pyeongtaek Citizen FC 1373
Geumsan InsamDrawPyeongtaek Citizen FC
Our model63%21%16%
Market64%20%16%
Estimated total (ours) 3.2 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Geumsan Insam (rating 1536 vs 1373).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Geumsan InsamPyeongtaek Citizen FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 1.20.9 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.70.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 4.61.8 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.2 / 0.14.1 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Geumsan Insam 100 Pyeongtaek Citizen FC

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
25/04/26
South Korea K4 League
Pyeongtaek Citizen FC2-7
HT 2-2
Geumsan Insam

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGeumsan InsamPyeongtaek Citizen FC
Jinju Citizen FC 1-1 D 0-2 L
Seosan Pioneer 3-0 W 0-5 L
Seoul Jungnang FC 1-3 L 1-1 D
Haman 3-1 W 0-2 L
Pyeongchang United 1-1 D 0-1 L
Geoje Citizen FC 2-1 W 2-3 L
Sejong SA 2-3 L 2-2 D
Namyangju FC 1-1 D 1-2 L
Gijang United 0-0 D 2-3 L
Record vs common 3 W 4 D 2 L 0 W 2 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: Geumsan Insam (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Geumsan Insam

DDLWDWWLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/08 Jinju Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
0-0 1-1 37 D
23/08 Seosan Pioneer
South Korea K4 League
2-0 3-0 13 W
25/07 Seoul Jungnang FC
South Korea K4 League
1-2 1-3 93 L
11/07 Jecheon Citizen
South Korea K4 League
2-0 2-1 13 W
27/06 Haman
South Korea K4 League
0-1 3-1 102 W
07/06 Pyeongchang United
South Korea K4 League
0-1 1-1 84 D
31/05 Geoje Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
1-1 2-1 32 W
23/05 Sejong SA
South Korea K4 League
2-1 2-3 33 L
16/05 Namyangju FC
South Korea K4 League
0-1 1-1 63 D
02/05 Gijang United
South Korea K4 League
0-0 0-0 23 D

Pyeongtaek Citizen FC

LDLLWLDLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Gijang United
South Korea K4 League
0-1 2-3 61 L
26/07 Jinju Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
0-2 0-2 36 L
12/07 Seosan Pioneer
South Korea K4 League
0-3 0-5 52 L
27/06 Seoul Jungnang FC
South Korea K4 League
1-0 1-1 21 D
06/06 Haman
South Korea K4 League
0-0 0-2 77 L
30/05 Jincheon HR
South Korea K4 League
0-0 1-0 55 W
24/05 Pyeongchang United
South Korea K4 League
0-1 0-1 45 L
17/05 Geoje Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
1-0 2-3 34 L
10/05 Sejong SA
South Korea K4 League
0-2 2-2 28 D
03/05 Namyangju FC
South Korea K4 League
1-1 1-2 34 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Geumsan Insam vs Pyeongtaek Citizen FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Geumsan Insam win (64%). Probabilities: Geumsan Insam 64%, draw 21%, Pyeongtaek Citizen FC 16%.

How many goals are expected in Geumsan Insam vs Pyeongtaek Citizen FC?

The model expects 3.2 goals (Geumsan Insam 2.19 · Pyeongtaek Citizen FC 1.01), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Geumsan Insam vs Pyeongtaek Citizen FC?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.