Football · Mexico Liga MX · 11/09, 05:00
Prediction: Unam Pumas vs Leon
Team pages: Unam Pumas · Leon
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.42Total
Unam Pumas1.16
Leon1.26
1X2
Unam Pumas
Draw
Leon
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Unam Pumas
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Leon
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Unam Pumas
3–3–0
Leon
(6 last)
- Unam Pumas1-1Leon
- Leon1-1Unam Pumas
- Leon1-2Unam Pumas
- Unam Pumas4-1Leon
- Unam Pumas1-0Leon
- Leon1-1Unam Pumas
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leon (rating 1487 vs 1557).
- H2H favours Unam Pumas: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Unam Pumas | Leon | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.1 | 1.5 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.9 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.2 | 2.4 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.4 | 3.9 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Unam Pumas 3–3–0 Leon
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01/26 Mexico Liga MX | Unam Pumas | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Leon |
| 26/10/25 Mexico Liga MX | Leon | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Unam Pumas |
| 31/03/25 Mexico Liga MX | Leon | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Unam Pumas |
| 07/07/24 Mexico Liga MX | Unam Pumas | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Leon |
| 15/04/24 Mexico Liga MX | Unam Pumas | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Leon |
| 01/11/23 Mexico Liga MX | Leon | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Unam Pumas |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 16 |
| 2 | Chivas Guadalajara | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 14 |
| 3 | Toluca | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Tijuana | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 13 |
| 5 | Atlas | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 12 |
| 6 | Queretaro | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 7 | Leon | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 8 | Puebla | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 10 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 9 |
| 10 | Cruz Azul | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 9 |
| 11 | Pachuca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 8 |
| 12 | Unam Pumas | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 8 |
| 13 | Necaxa | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 8 |
| 14 | Tigres UANL | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 6 |
| 15 | Atlante | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| 16 | Atletico San Luis | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 6 |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 1 |
| 18 | Juarez FC | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 21 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Unam Pumas | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| Tijuana | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Necaxa | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Juarez FC | 5-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Toluca | 2-1 W | 1-4 L |
| Pachuca | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Leon (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Unam Pumas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Tijuana Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 24/08 | Necaxa Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 16/08 | Queretaro Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | Juarez FC Mexico Liga MX |
3-1 | 5-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 22/07 | Toluca Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 19/07 | Pachuca Mexico Liga MX |
0-2 | 0-3 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 25/05 | Cruz Azul Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 22/05 | Cruz Azul Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 18/05 | Pachuca Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 15/05 | Pachuca Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
Leon
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Atlante Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 22/08 | Monterrey Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 18/08 | Necaxa Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | Pachuca Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 12 | W |
| 25/07 | Tijuana Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 18/07 | Atlas Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | Toluca Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 22/04 | Club America Mexico Liga MX |
2-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 19/04 | Juarez FC Mexico Liga MX |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 11/04 | Puebla Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Unam Pumas vs Leon?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Leon win (37%). Probabilities: Unam Pumas 33%, draw 30%, Leon 37%.
How many goals are expected in Unam Pumas vs Leon?
The model expects 2.42 goals (Unam Pumas 1.16 · Leon 1.26), with a 57% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Unam Pumas vs Leon?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.