Prediction: Queretaro vs Leon
- Queretaro2-0Leon
- Leon3-0Queretaro
- Queretaro1-1Leon
- Leon4-0Queretaro
- Leon0-2Queretaro
- Queretaro1-1Leon
| Queretaro | Draw | Leon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 28% | 34% |
| Market | 38% | 28% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Queretaro | Leon | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1 | 1.4 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.1 | 2.3 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.3 | 4.1 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Queretaro 2–2–2 Leon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/26 Mexico Liga MX | Queretaro | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Leon |
| 31/08/25 Mexico Liga MX | Leon | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Queretaro |
| 05/04/25 Mexico Liga MX | Queretaro | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Leon |
| 27/10/24 Mexico Liga MX | Leon | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Queretaro |
| 07/04/24 Mexico Liga MX | Leon | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Queretaro |
| 30/09/23 Mexico Liga MX | Queretaro | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Leon |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toluca | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 19 |
| 2 | Chivas Guadalajara | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | Club America | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 16 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 15 |
| 5 | Puebla | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 14 |
| 6 | Queretaro | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 13 |
| 7 | Leon | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | Tijuana | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Atlas | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 13 |
| 10 | Pachuca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Unam Pumas | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 11 |
| 12 | Monterrey | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 10 |
| 13 | Necaxa | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 8 |
| 14 | Atlante | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 8 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 7 |
| 16 | Atletico San Luis | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 6 |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 4 |
| 18 | Juarez FC | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Queretaro | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| Tijuana | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Atlas | 3-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Toluca | 1-2 L | 1-4 L |
| Unam Pumas | 0-0 D | 1-3 L |
| Pachuca | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Club America | 0-1 L | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Queretaro (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Queretaro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Tijuana Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 30/08 | Atlas Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Toluca Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 16/08 | Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 02/08 | Tigres UANL Mexico Liga MX |
2-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 27/07 | Pachuca Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 19/07 | Club America Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 25/04 | Puebla Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 22/04 | Cruz Azul Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Mazatlan FC Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
Leon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Atletico San Luis Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 11/09 | Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Atlante Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 22/08 | Monterrey Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 18/08 | Necaxa Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | Pachuca Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 12 | W |
| 25/07 | Tijuana Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 18/07 | Atlas Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | Toluca Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 22/04 | Club America Mexico Liga MX |
2-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Queretaro vs Leon?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Queretaro win (38%). Probabilities: Queretaro 38%, draw 28%, Leon 34%.
How many goals are expected in Queretaro vs Leon?
The model expects 2.73 goals (Queretaro 1.4 · Leon 1.33), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Queretaro vs Leon?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.