Prediction: TPV vs KPV
- KPV1-3TPV
- TPV0-0KPV
- KPV0-0TPV
| TPV | Draw | KPV | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 20% | 20% |
| Market | 60% | 20% | 20% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TPV (rating 1479 vs 1437).
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| TPV | KPV | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 2.3 | 1.4 / 2.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/0/40% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 4.8 | 2.1 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.2 | 4.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · TPV 1–2–0 KPV
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/26 Finland Ykkonen | KPV | 1-3 HT 0-2 | TPV |
| 11/04/26 Finland Ykkonen | TPV | 0-0 HT 0-0 | KPV |
| 19/01/18 Finland Cup | KPV | 0-0 HT 0-0 | TPV |
Standings · Finland Ykkonen · Ykkonen 2026, Relegation Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VJS Vantaa | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 44 | 32 | 40 |
| 2 | FC Jazz | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 38 | 32 | 36 |
| 3 | TPV | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 48 | 27 |
| 4 | FC Inter II | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 53 | 26 |
| 5 | KPV | 25 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 27 | 75 | 18 |
| 6 | KUPS Akatemia | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 41 | 61 | 15 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | TPV | KPV |
|---|---|---|
| FC Jazz | 1-3 L | 0-3 L |
| FC Inter II | 0-3 L | 3-2 W |
| KUPS Akatemia | 4-2 W | 3-2 W |
| Tampere Utd | 1-1 D | 0-6 L |
| SalPa | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| OLS | 2-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 3 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
TPV
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 20/09 | FC Inter II Finland Ykkonen |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen |
2-0 | 4-2 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 22/08 | FC Inter II Finland Ykkonen |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 15/08 | Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 11/08 | SalPa Finland Ykkonen |
1-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 05/08 | OLS Finland Ykkonen |
2-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | RoPS Finland Ykkonen |
2-1 | 6-3 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 24/07 | FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
KPV
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 18/09 | KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 11/09 | FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | JJK Finland Ykkonen |
0-4 | 1-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 21/08 | KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen |
2-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 16/08 | FC Inter II Finland Ykkonen |
1-0 | 3-2 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 05/08 | Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen |
0-3 | 0-6 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 01/08 | SalPa Finland Ykkonen |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | OLS Finland Ykkonen |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in TPV vs KPV?
According to our model, the most likely result is a TPV win (60%). Probabilities: TPV 60%, draw 20%, KPV 20%.
How many goals are expected in TPV vs KPV?
The model expects 3.83 goals (TPV 2.45 · KPV 1.38), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in TPV vs KPV?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.