Football · Finland Ykkonen · 18/10, 14:00

Prediction: JJK vs PK Keski-Uusimaa

Team pages: JJK · PK Keski-Uusimaa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.88Total

JJK1.94

PK Keski-Uusimaa1.94

1X2

39% 23% 39%

JJK Draw PK Keski-Uusimaa

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

JJK 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LLDDDWLLLL

PK Keski-Uusimaa 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DDWDDWLWLL

Head-to-head

JJK 1–2–3 PK Keski-Uusimaa (6 last)

PK Keski-Uusimaa2-2JJK
JJK1-3PK Keski-Uusimaa
JJK2-3PK Keski-Uusimaa
PK Keski-Uusimaa2-0JJK
PK Keski-Uusimaa1-2JJK
JJK2-2PK Keski-Uusimaa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · JJK 1430 · PK Keski-Uusimaa 1506

	JJK	Draw	PK Keski-Uusimaa
Our model	39%	23%	39%
Market	38%	23%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.88 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PK Keski-Uusimaa (rating 1430 vs 1506).
H2H favours PK Keski-Uusimaa: 3-2-1.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	JJK	PK Keski-Uusimaa
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 3	1.6 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.9	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 5.4	2.9 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.1	3.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.90

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.88

Under 3.751.93

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 4.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Pinn 2.42 ★
X	3.90 → 3.90	Pinn 4.00
2	2.35 → 2.35	Pinn 2.42

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.7% Pinnacle margin 7.6%

Time*	1	X	2
16:09 +15’	2.35	3.90	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:36 +48’	2.42	4.00	2.42

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · JJK 1–2–3 PK Keski-Uusimaa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/08/26 Finland Ykkonen	PK Keski-Uusimaa	2-2 HT 2-0	JJK
06/06/26 Finland Ykkonen	JJK	1-3 HT 0-1	PK Keski-Uusimaa
16/08/25 Finland Ykkonen	JJK	2-3 HT 1-2	PK Keski-Uusimaa
06/06/25 Finland Ykkonen	PK Keski-Uusimaa	2-0 HT 1-0	JJK
19/10/24 Finland Ykkonen	PK Keski-Uusimaa	1-2 HT 0-1	JJK
13/06/24 Finland Ykkonen	JJK	2-2 HT 0-1	PK Keski-Uusimaa

Standings · Finland Ykkonen · Ykkonen 2026, Championship Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tampere Utd	26	16	5	5	59	26	53
2	RoPS	26	13	8	5	58	38	47
3	SalPa	26	13	6	7	56	45	45
4	OLS	26	11	8	7	50	38	41
5	PK Keski-Uusimaa	26	10	8	8	45	41	38
6	JJK	26	8	7	11	56	59	31

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	JJK	PK Keski-Uusimaa
RoPS	1-6 L	3-1 W
Tampere Utd	0-4 L	2-3 L
OLS	1-3 L	0-3 L
SalPa	3-4 L	0-4 L
VJS Vantaa	4-4 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 4 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JJK

LLDDDWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	RoPS Finland Ykkonen	0-5	1-6	8	0	L
25/09	Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen	0-2	0-4	3	2	L
19/09	OLS Finland Ykkonen	1-2	1-3	4	5	L
12/09	SalPa Finland Ykkonen	1-4	3-4	3	5	L
29/08	KPV Finland Ykkonen	4-0	4-1	5	4	W
21/08	PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen	0-2	2-2	8	3	D
16/08	VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen	1-1	4-4	2	4	D
11/08	Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen	0-0	0-0	7	7	D
05/08	SalPa Finland Ykkonen	1-0	1-2	7	2	L
25/07	RoPS Finland Ykkonen	0-3	0-4	7	4	L

PK Keski-Uusimaa

DDWDDWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	SalPa Finland Ykkonen	0-0	0-4	2	2	L
26/09	OLS Finland Ykkonen	0-2	0-3	10	1	L
19/09	RoPS Finland Ykkonen	2-1	3-1	2	0	W
12/09	Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen	1-1	2-3	2	5	L
29/08	TPV Finland Ykkonen	1-0	2-0	8	7	W
21/08	JJK Finland Ykkonen	2-0	2-2	3	3	D
16/08	KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen	2-1	2-2	7	4	D
11/08	FC Inter II Finland Ykkonen	0-0	1-0	7	2	W
05/08	VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
31/07	Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen	0-2	4-4	8	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JJK vs PK Keski-Uusimaa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a JJK win (39%). Probabilities: JJK 39%, draw 23%, PK Keski-Uusimaa 39%.

How many goals are expected in JJK vs PK Keski-Uusimaa?

The model expects 3.88 goals (JJK 1.94 · PK Keski-Uusimaa 1.94), with a 50% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in JJK vs PK Keski-Uusimaa?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.