Football · Finland Ykkonen · 18/10, 14:00

Prediction: Tampere Utd vs RoPS

Team pages: Tampere Utd · RoPS

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.99Total

Tampere Utd1.83

RoPS2.16

1X2

31% 26% 43%

Tampere Utd Draw RoPS

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Tampere Utd 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWDDWLWLWW

RoPS 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDWDLWDLWW

Head-to-head

Tampere Utd 4–0 RoPS (4 last)

Tampere Utd4-0RoPS
RoPS0-1Tampere Utd
Tampere Utd4-0RoPS
RoPS0-2Tampere Utd

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tampere Utd 1557 · RoPS 1514

	Tampere Utd	Draw	RoPS
Our model	33%	22%	45%
Market	29%	29%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 3.99 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tampere Utd (rating 1557 vs 1514).
H2H favours Tampere Utd: 4-0-0.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tampere Utd	RoPS
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 1.5	2.3 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.5	1.5 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	50/0/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.9	2.3 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.1	3.3 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.10

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.82

Under 3.51.98

Diff.: 0.9 · xG: 4.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.65 ★
2	2.15 → 2.15	Pinn 2.16

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11% Pinnacle margin 7.9%

Time*	1	X	2
16:16 +7’	3.10	3.10	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:30 +114’	2.92	3.65	2.16

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tampere Utd 4–0–0 RoPS

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/08/26 Finland Ykkonen	Tampere Utd	4-0 HT 3-0	RoPS
06/06/26 Finland Ykkonen	RoPS	0-1 HT 0-0	Tampere Utd
25/07/25 Finland Ykkonen	Tampere Utd	4-0 HT 1-0	RoPS
10/05/25 Finland Ykkonen	RoPS	0-2 HT 0-1	Tampere Utd

Standings · Finland Ykkonen · Ykkonen 2026, Championship Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tampere Utd	26	16	5	5	59	26	53
2	RoPS	26	13	8	5	58	38	47
3	SalPa	26	13	6	7	56	45	45
4	OLS	26	11	8	7	50	38	41
5	PK Keski-Uusimaa	26	10	8	8	45	41	38
6	JJK	26	8	7	11	56	59	31

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tampere Utd	RoPS
OLS	1-0 W	1-1 D
JJK	4-0 W	6-1 W
SalPa	4-6 L	3-1 W
PK Keski-Uusimaa	3-2 W	1-3 L
TPV	1-1 D	3-6 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Tampere Utd (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tampere Utd

DWDDWLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	OLS Finland Ykkonen	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
25/09	JJK Finland Ykkonen	2-0	4-0	7	2	W
19/09	SalPa Finland Ykkonen	2-1	4-6	5	6	L
12/09	PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen	1-1	3-2	10	5	W
29/08	OLS Finland Ykkonen	0-2	1-2	3	3	L
22/08	RoPS Finland Ykkonen	3-0	4-0	11	4	W
15/08	TPV Finland Ykkonen	0-1	1-1	8	3	D
11/08	JJK Finland Ykkonen	0-0	0-0	6	7	D
05/08	KPV Finland Ykkonen	3-0	6-0	6	2	W
31/07	PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen	2-0	4-4	0	5	D

RoPS

LDWDLWDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	JJK Finland Ykkonen	5-0	6-1	3	0	W
26/09	SalPa Finland Ykkonen	3-0	3-1	5	6	W
19/09	PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen	1-2	1-3	9	0	L
12/09	OLS Finland Ykkonen	1-0	1-1	2	6	D
29/08	VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen	1-0	2-0	5	5	W
22/08	Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen	0-3	0-4	1	4	L
15/08	OLS Finland Ykkonen	1-3	3-3	8	5	D
11/08	KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen	1-0	2-1	0	4	W
05/08	FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen	1-2	2-2	6	6	D
01/08	TPV Finland Ykkonen	1-2	3-6	9	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tampere Utd vs RoPS?

According to our model, the most likely result is an RoPS win (43%). Probabilities: Tampere Utd 31%, draw 26%, RoPS 43%.

How many goals are expected in Tampere Utd vs RoPS?

The model expects 3.99 goals (Tampere Utd 1.83 · RoPS 2.16), with a 54% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Tampere Utd vs RoPS?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.