Football · Finland Ykkonen · 18/10, 14:00

Prediction: SalPa vs OLS

Team pages: SalPa · OLS

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.88Total
SalPa2.44
OLS1.44
1X2
59% 21% 21%
SalPa Draw OLS
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
SalPa 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
LWDLWWWWLW
OLS 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WWDDLWDWWL
Head-to-head
SalPa 1–1 OLS (2 last)
  • SalPa4-1OLS
  • OLS5-0SalPa
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SalPa 1535 · OLS 1544
SalPaDrawOLS
Our model59%20%21%
Market59%21%21%
Estimated total (ours) 3.88 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SalPaOLS
Goals for / against (FT)2.5 / 1.92 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 1.21.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/20/60%60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 6.42.6 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.5 / 03.8 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · SalPa 1–0–1 OLS

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/08/26
Finland Ykkonen
SalPa4-1
HT 2-1
OLS
06/06/26
Finland Ykkonen
OLS5-0
HT 2-0
SalPa

Standings · Finland Ykkonen · Ykkonen 2026, Championship Round

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Tampere Utd 261655 592653
2 RoPS 261385 583847
3 SalPa 261367 564545
4 OLS 261187 503841
5 PK Keski-Uusimaa 261088 454138
6 JJK 268711 565931

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSalPaOLS
PK Keski-Uusimaa 4-0 W 3-0 W
RoPS 1-3 L 1-1 D
Tampere Utd 6-4 W 0-1 L
JJK 4-3 W 3-1 W
FC Jazz 0-2 L 1-1 D
TPV 1-1 D 4-2 W
KPV 0-3 L 2-1 W
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 3 L 4 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: OLS (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SalPa

LWDLWWWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/10 PK Keski-Uusimaa
Finland Ykkonen
0-0 4-0 82 W
26/09 RoPS
Finland Ykkonen
0-3 1-3 66 L
19/09 Tampere Utd
Finland Ykkonen
1-2 6-4 26 W
12/09 JJK
Finland Ykkonen
4-1 4-3 85 W
29/08 KUPS Akatemia
Finland Ykkonen
0-0 3-1 42 W
22/08 OLS
Finland Ykkonen
2-1 4-1 53 W
15/08 FC Jazz
Finland Ykkonen
0-1 0-2 104 L
11/08 TPV
Finland Ykkonen
0-1 1-1 53 D
05/08 JJK
Finland Ykkonen
0-1 2-1 32 W
01/08 KPV
Finland Ykkonen
0-2 0-3 132 L

OLS

WWDDLWDWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/10 Tampere Utd
Finland Ykkonen
0-0 0-1 54 L
26/09 PK Keski-Uusimaa
Finland Ykkonen
2-0 3-0 41 W
19/09 JJK
Finland Ykkonen
2-1 3-1 65 W
12/09 RoPS
Finland Ykkonen
0-1 1-1 76 D
29/08 Tampere Utd
Finland Ykkonen
2-0 2-1 33 W
22/08 SalPa
Finland Ykkonen
1-2 1-4 73 L
15/08 RoPS
Finland Ykkonen
3-1 3-3 65 D
09/08 FC Jazz
Finland Ykkonen
1-0 1-1 83 D
05/08 TPV
Finland Ykkonen
1-2 4-2 94 W
26/07 KPV
Finland Ykkonen
1-0 2-1 46 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SalPa vs OLS?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SalPa win (59%). Probabilities: SalPa 59%, draw 21%, OLS 21%.

How many goals are expected in SalPa vs OLS?

The model expects 3.88 goals (SalPa 2.44 · OLS 1.44), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in SalPa vs OLS?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.