Football · Finland Ykkonen · 12/10, 17:30

Prediction: FC Inter II vs FC Jazz

Team pages: FC Inter II · FC Jazz

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.19Total

FC Inter II1.8

FC Jazz1.39

1X2

47% 23% 30%

FC Inter II Draw FC Jazz

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Inter II 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DDWLLLLLWW

FC Jazz 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WDDDWDWWLW

Head-to-head

FC Inter II 1–2–2 FC Jazz (5 last)

FC Jazz2-0FC Inter II
FC Inter II1-1FC Jazz
FC Inter II2-1FC Jazz
FC Jazz2-2FC Inter II
FC Inter II1-2FC Jazz

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Inter II 1489 · FC Jazz 1550

	FC Inter II	Draw	FC Jazz
Our model	46%	25%	29%
Market	48%	22%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3.19 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Jazz (rating 1489 vs 1550).
H2H favours FC Jazz: 2-2-1.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Inter II	FC Jazz
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.2	2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	60/0/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.7	2.5 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0	3.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.85

X4.10

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 41.98

Under 41.82

Diff.: 1.3 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 09:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.91▲	Pinn 2.40 ★
X	4.10 → 4.00▼	Bet365 4.00
2	2.90 → 2.80▼	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 13.1% Pinnacle margin 6.4%

Time*	1	X	2
17:21 +8’	1.85	4.10	2.90
09:01 +1’	1.91▲	4.00▼	2.80▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:09 +58’	1.99	3.90	3.12
09:55 +7’	1.99	3.90	3.13▲
15:31 +32’	2.01▲	3.97▲	3.18▲
17:00 +4’	2.40▲	3.96▼	2.53▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 7 odds moves recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Inter II 1–2–2 FC Jazz

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/08/26 Finland Ykkonen	FC Jazz	2-0 HT 1-0	FC Inter II
12/06/26 Finland Ykkonen	FC Inter II	1-1 HT 0-0	FC Jazz
19/09/25 Finland Ykkonen	FC Inter II	2-1 HT 0-0	FC Jazz
01/08/25 Finland Ykkonen	FC Jazz	2-2 HT 1-1	FC Inter II
18/05/25 Finland Ykkonen	FC Inter II	1-2 HT 1-1	FC Jazz

Standings · Finland Ykkonen · Ykkonen 2026, Relegation Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	VJS Vantaa	26	11	10	5	46	33	43
2	FC Jazz	25	11	6	8	38	32	36
3	TPV	26	8	6	12	39	48	30
4	FC Inter II	25	7	5	13	39	53	26
5	KPV	26	5	3	18	27	79	18
6	KUPS Akatemia	26	3	6	17	42	63	15

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Inter II	FC Jazz
KUPS Akatemia	3-0 W	2-2 D
TPV	3-0 W	3-1 W
VJS Vantaa	1-2 L	0-2 L
KPV	2-3 L	3-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Inter II (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Inter II

DDWLLLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/10	KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen	2-0	3-0	8	4	W
20/09	TPV Finland Ykkonen	2-0	3-0	4	2	W
12/09	VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen	0-0	1-2	4	6	L
29/08	FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen	0-1	0-2	4	8	L
22/08	TPV Finland Ykkonen	0-1	0-1	6	7	L
16/08	KPV Finland Ykkonen	0-1	2-3	7	3	L
11/08	PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
07/08	KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen	0-0	1-0	4	8	W
31/07	VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen	1-1	1-1	8	9	D
24/07	Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen	0-2	2-2	7	1	D

FC Jazz

WDDDWDWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	TPV Finland Ykkonen	1-0	3-1	8	2	W
19/09	VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen	0-2	0-2	5	3	L
11/09	KPV Finland Ykkonen	2-0	3-0	3	3	W
29/08	FC Inter II Finland Ykkonen	1-0	2-0	5	8	W
23/08	VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen	0-1	1-1	6	4	D
15/08	SalPa Finland Ykkonen	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
09/08	OLS Finland Ykkonen	0-1	1-1	5	3	D
05/08	RoPS Finland Ykkonen	2-1	2-2	1	6	D
30/07	KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen	0-2	2-2	11	3	D
24/07	TPV Finland Ykkonen	1-0	4-0	5	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Inter II vs FC Jazz?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Inter II win (47%). Probabilities: FC Inter II 47%, draw 23%, FC Jazz 30%.

How many goals are expected in FC Inter II vs FC Jazz?

The model expects 3.19 goals (FC Inter II 1.8 · FC Jazz 1.39), with a 62% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Inter II vs FC Jazz?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.