Football · Finland Ykkonen · 10/10, 14:00

Prediction: OLS vs Tampere Utd

Team pages: OLS · Tampere Utd

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.86Total

OLS1.89

Tampere Utd1.97

1X2

37% 23% 40%

OLS Draw Tampere Utd

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

OLS 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DWWDDLWDWW

Tampere Utd 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DDWDDWLWLW

Head-to-head

OLS 2–2–2 Tampere Utd (6 last)

OLS2-1Tampere Utd
Tampere Utd3-0OLS
Tampere Utd0-2OLS
OLS1-3Tampere Utd
Tampere Utd2-2OLS
Tampere Utd0-0OLS

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · OLS 1543 · Tampere Utd 1538

	OLS	Draw	Tampere Utd
Our model	37%	23%	40%
Market	37%	24%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 3.86 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	OLS	Tampere Utd
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.5	2.9 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.7	1.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/0/30%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.9	2.7 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.2	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.80

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.00

2 (0)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.90

Under 3.51.90

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 4.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
12:49 +7’	2.45	3.80	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · OLS 2–2–2 Tampere Utd

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/08/26 Finland Ykkonen	OLS	2-1 HT 2-0	Tampere Utd
11/06/26 Finland Ykkonen	Tampere Utd	3-0 HT 2-0	OLS
18/09/25 Finland Ykkonen	Tampere Utd	0-2 HT 0-1	OLS
30/08/25 Finland Ykkonen	OLS	1-3 HT 0-2	Tampere Utd
28/06/25 Finland Ykkonen	Tampere Utd	2-2 HT 0-1	OLS
04/08/18 Finland Kakkonen Group C	Tampere Utd	0-0 HT 0-0	OLS

Standings · Finland Ykkonen · Ykkonen 2026, Championship Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tampere Utd	25	15	5	5	58	26	50
2	RoPS	25	12	8	5	52	37	44
3	SalPa	25	12	6	7	52	45	42
4	OLS	25	11	8	6	50	37	41
5	PK Keski-Uusimaa	25	10	8	7	45	37	38
6	JJK	25	8	7	10	55	53	31

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	OLS	Tampere Utd
PK Keski-Uusimaa	3-0 W	3-2 W
JJK	3-1 W	4-0 W
RoPS	1-1 D	4-0 W
SalPa	1-4 L	4-6 L
TPV	4-2 W	1-1 D
KPV	2-1 W	6-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Tampere Utd (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

OLS

DWWDDLWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen	2-0	3-0	4	1	W
19/09	JJK Finland Ykkonen	2-1	3-1	6	5	W
12/09	RoPS Finland Ykkonen	0-1	1-1	7	6	D
29/08	Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen	2-0	2-1	3	3	W
22/08	SalPa Finland Ykkonen	1-2	1-4	7	3	L
15/08	RoPS Finland Ykkonen	3-1	3-3	6	5	D
09/08	FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen	1-0	1-1	8	3	D
05/08	TPV Finland Ykkonen	1-2	4-2	9	4	W
26/07	KPV Finland Ykkonen	1-0	2-1	4	6	W
18/07	PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen	1-0	1-1	5	3	D

Tampere Utd

DDWDDWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/09	JJK Finland Ykkonen	2-0	4-0	7	2	W
19/09	SalPa Finland Ykkonen	2-1	4-6	5	6	L
12/09	PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen	1-1	3-2	10	5	W
29/08	OLS Finland Ykkonen	0-2	1-2	3	3	L
22/08	RoPS Finland Ykkonen	3-0	4-0	11	4	W
15/08	TPV Finland Ykkonen	0-1	1-1	8	3	D
11/08	JJK Finland Ykkonen	0-0	0-0	6	7	D
05/08	KPV Finland Ykkonen	3-0	6-0	6	2	W
31/07	PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen	2-0	4-4	0	5	D
24/07	FC Inter II Finland Ykkonen	2-0	2-2	4	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in OLS vs Tampere Utd?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Tampere Utd win (40%). Probabilities: OLS 37%, draw 23%, Tampere Utd 40%.

How many goals are expected in OLS vs Tampere Utd?

The model expects 3.86 goals (OLS 1.89 · Tampere Utd 1.97), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in OLS vs Tampere Utd?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.