Football · Finland Veikkausliiga · 28/10, 17:00

Prediction: AC Oulu vs VPS Vaasa

Team pages: AC Oulu · VPS Vaasa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.74Total

AC Oulu1.76

VPS Vaasa0.98

1X2

54% 26% 20%

AC Oulu Draw VPS Vaasa

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

AC Oulu 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWDLLLWLWW

VPS Vaasa 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LWLWLLLWLL

Head-to-head

AC Oulu 4–2 VPS Vaasa (6 last)

VPS Vaasa1-0AC Oulu
VPS Vaasa5-1AC Oulu
AC Oulu1-0VPS Vaasa
VPS Vaasa1-4AC Oulu
AC Oulu2-0VPS Vaasa
AC Oulu2-1VPS Vaasa

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AC Oulu (rating 1498 vs 1437).
H2H favours AC Oulu: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AC Oulu	VPS Vaasa
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.5	0.4 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.2	2.3 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.88

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:59

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.41 → 2.41	Pinn 2.41
X	3.34 → 3.34	Pinn 3.34
2	2.98 → 2.98	Pinn 2.98

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5%

Time*	1	X	2
17:17 +162’	2.41	3.34	2.98

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · AC Oulu 4–0–2 VPS Vaasa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/09/26 Finland Veikkausliiga	VPS Vaasa	1-0 HT 1-0	AC Oulu
23/06/26 Finland Veikkausliiga	VPS Vaasa	5-1 HT 3-1	AC Oulu
18/04/26 Finland Veikkausliiga	AC Oulu	1-0 HT 0-0	VPS Vaasa
24/01/26 Finland Liigacup	VPS Vaasa	1-4 HT 1-1	AC Oulu
04/10/25 Finland Veikkausliiga	AC Oulu	2-0 HT 1-0	VPS Vaasa
28/06/25 Finland Veikkausliiga	AC Oulu	2-1 HT 1-1	VPS Vaasa

Standings · Finland Veikkausliiga · Veikkausliiga 2026, Championship Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Inter	29	15	10	4	35	20	55
2	HJK Helsinki	28	15	6	7	53	32	51
3	KuPS Kuopio	28	14	9	5	43	26	51
4	AC Oulu	29	13	4	12	36	37	43
5	IF Gnistan	29	11	9	9	43	41	42
6	VPS Vaasa	29	11	6	12	31	34	39

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AC Oulu	VPS Vaasa
IF Gnistan	4-3 W	1-0 W
FC Inter	2-1 W	0-1 L
HJK Helsinki	3-4 L	0-6 L
KuPS Kuopio	1-0 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: AC Oulu (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AC Oulu

LWDLLLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga	3-1	4-3	9	3	W
17/10	FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	2-1	3	2	W
12/10	HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga	0-2	3-4	6	4	L
08/10	KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
18/09	FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	0-1	0	4	L
12/09	IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	1-2	3	4	L
08/09	VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	0-1	8	5	L
31/08	SJK Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
22/08	FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	1-0	1	5	W
16/08	FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga	2-0	2-3	3	3	L

VPS Vaasa

LWLWLLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-1	1	5	L
18/10	KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga	0-2	0-2	5	5	L
12/10	IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	1-0	2	1	W
08/10	HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga	0-3	0-6	6	3	L
19/09	KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga	0-2	0-2	10	6	L
14/09	FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
08/09	AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
31/08	FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
22/08	FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
14/08	TPS Finland Veikkausliiga	0-2	1-3	7	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AC Oulu vs VPS Vaasa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AC Oulu win (54%). Probabilities: AC Oulu 54%, draw 26%, VPS Vaasa 20%.

How many goals are expected in AC Oulu vs VPS Vaasa?

The model expects 2.74 goals (AC Oulu 1.76 · VPS Vaasa 0.98), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in AC Oulu vs VPS Vaasa?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.